Assessments

People holding Gabon national flags celebrate in Libreville on August 30, 2023, after a group of military officers announced they were ''putting an end'' to President Ali Bongo Ondimba's regime. 

Rampant insecurity could precipitate the collapse of more Sahelian governments, while succession crises and patronage politics could do the same for Central Africa's dynastic leaders.

Assessing the Risk of Future African Coups, Part 1: The Sahel and Central Africa

Assessing the Risk of Future African Coups, Part 1: The Sahel and Central Africa | RANE

Highlights

Sub-Saharan Africa

Burkina Faso

Cameroon

Chad

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Equatorial Guinea

Gabon

Mali

Niger

Republic of the Congo

Military & Security

Politics

In the first of this two-part series exploring political instability across sub-Saharan Africa, we examine the governments in Central Africa and the Sahel that are most at risk of experiencing a coup in the near future. In part two, we'll examine the most at-risk governments in West Africa and East Africa, as well as the greater implications of such mass upheaval.

ASSESSMENTS

Assessing the Risk of Future African Coups, Part 1: The Sahel and Central Africa

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