Assessments

A checkpoint on Sept. 9, 2020, in Mekele, Ethiopia, the day Tigray held regional elections. A military operation against Tigray will not prove easy for the Ethiopian government.

In addition to the secession risk it poses throughout Ethiopia, the conflict could draw in other countries in the region.

Conflict in Tigray Has Major Implications for Ethiopia, and the Region

Highlights

Eritrea

Ethiopia

Somalia

Sudan

Addis Ababa has ordered military operations in Tigray against the regional government, which could escalate into a much deeper conflict that would ignite other ethnic and clan cleavages across Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa, rolling back Ethiopian stability while blunting foreign investment.

ASSESSMENTS

Conflict in Tigray Has Major Implications for Ethiopia, and the Region

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