A U.S. ultimatum giving Ukraine until Nov. 27 to accept a U.S.-brokered peace plan marks the clearest attempt yet to translate U.S. leverage into a negotiated settlement that would formalize major Ukrainian concessions and freeze the war on terms favorable to Moscow, but Kyiv is unlikely to accede, meaning the war will probably continue, at least into 2026. On Nov. 21, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he has given Ukraine a deadline of Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 27) to accept his administration's proposed 28-point peace plan with Russia, warning that failure to do so would trigger a suspension of U.S. intelligence and military support. The proposal envisions a negotiated settlement that would, among other things, reaffirm Ukraine's sovereignty while formalizing a major territorial and security compromise. Key elements of that compromise include the de facto recognition of Russian control over all of Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk; a freeze along current...
