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United States

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Science & Technology

Leaders of the AUKUS grouping (the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia) issued a joint statement on Sept. 18 revealing ongoing consultations with Canada, New Zealand and South Korea to collaborate on Pillar II of the agreement.

AUKUS: Joint Statement Hints at Expansion

Canada's New Democratic Party leader Jagmeet Singh announced on social media that his party was exiting the 2022 supply-and-confidence agreement that enabled Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal party to form a minority government, the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation reported on Sept. 4.

Canada: NDP Exits Supply-and-Confidence Agreement Supporting Liberal Government

Mexico

Outgoing President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador announced a "pause" on Mexico's diplomatic relations with the U.S. and Canadian Embassies after these countries' top diplomats criticized his judicial reform proposal, Reuters reported on Aug. 27. 

Mexico, Canada, U.S.: Mexican Diplomatic 'Pause' With U.S., Canadian Embassies Unlikely to Disrupt Businesses 

The Canada Industrial Relations Board, or CIRB, ordered Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Kansas City to resume operations, approving the Labor Ministry's Aug. 22 request for binding arbitration to reopen the railways formally after the companies launched a worker lockout, Bloomberg reported on Aug. 24. 

Canada: Railway Operations Resume Despite Union Attempt To Launch Strike

Canada will impose a 100% tariff on Chinese-made electric vehicles and a 25% tariff on Chinese steel and aluminum, Bloomberg reported on Aug. 26.

Canada, China: Canada Imposes 100% Tariff on Chinese EVs

Less than 17 hours after Canadian National Railway, or CN, and Canadian Pacific Kansas City Southern, or CPKC, locked out over 9,000 workers and suspended their rail operations in Canada and the United States on Aug. 22, Labour Minister Steve McKinnon ordered the Canada Industrial Relations Board, or CIRB, to trigger binding arbitration, BBC reported the same day.

Canada: Labour Ministry Triggers Binding Arbitration To End Rail Lockout

Canadian National Railway, or CN, and Canadian Pacific Kansas City Southern, or CPKC, ​​announced that they had shut down their operations, locking out 9,000 members of the Teamsters Canada Rail Conference union who had been threatening to go on strike due to a monthslong dispute over a new contract, Reuters reported on Aug. 22.

Canada: Railways Begin Worker Lockout To Push for Contract Agreement

Germany

Greece

France

Sweden

Belgium

Poland

Norway

Austria

Switzerland

Italy

Afghanistan

The Afghan Taliban's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said it would not honor documents, including passports and visas, issued by diplomats linked to the former Western-backed Islamic Republic of Afghanistan at several missions in Europe and other Western countries, AP reported on July 30. 

Afghanistan: Taliban Disavows Some Afghan Diplomatic Missions in Europe and Other Western Countries

Assessments

India

A Sikh protest on Sept. 22, 2023, in Amritsar, India. India may conduct further covert action in the West that disrupts diplomatic relations, but more consequential, longer-lasting ruptures between the two sides remain unlikely.

India may conduct further covert action in the West that disrupts diplomatic relations, but more consequential, longer-lasting ruptures between the two sides remain unlikely.

How Indian Covert Action in the West Would Affect Ties

Snapshots

World Sikh Organization of Canada President Mukhbir Singh and National Council of Canadian Muslims CEO Stephen Brown speak during a press conference at the Canadian House of Commons in Ottawa on Sept. 19, 2023.

Recent allegations will raise tensions between Canada and India, leading to near-term security risks and possible tit-for-tat retaliation.

Canada-India Ties Take a Dive Following Ottawa's Allegations

Media

Podcasts

Can masks protect you from wildfire smoke?

Beyond COVID: Potential Health Effects From the Canadian Wildfires

Iran

Turkey

Europe

The flag of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) flutters in front of the IAEA building in Vienna, Austria, on July 10, 2019.

Energy

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: EU Commission President Visits the U.S. and Canada, China's 'Two Sessions' Meetings Begin

Passengers of a flight from China walk toward a COVID-19 testing center after arriving in Paris, France, on Jan. 1, 2023. 

The Weekly Rundown: China Ends COVID-19 Travel Restrictions, Biden Meets With Japan, Canada and Mexico's Leaders

Officials from Germany, Ghana, Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom, the African Union, the European Union, France, the United States and Kenya participate in a working session at a G-7 Foreign Ministers Meeting in Muenster, western Germany, on Nov. 4, 2022. 

The world’s most developed economies are generally poised to ride out the impending global recession -- with debt-ridden Italy being the one possible exception.

Assessing the Risk of Debt Crises in G-7 Countries

Russia

The flags of the G-7 countries and the European Union are seen on June 28, 2022, in front of Elmau Castle in southern Germany during this year's G-7 Summit.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Whether the G-7 price cap succeeds hinges on global participation, but as participation rises, so do the odds of the West's nightmare scenario: Russian oil export curbs.

The More Successful the G-7 Oil Price Cap on Russia, the More Risk It Brings

Graphics

NATO's flag. NATO approved its first new Strategic Concept on June 29 since 2010 at the 2022 NATO Summit in Madrid.

U.S.-China Relations

The new Strategic Concept emphasizes a number of different threats and priorities for NATO over the coming decade.

NATO Approves a New Strategic Concept

Columns

On Geopolitics

Denmark

Finland

Iceland

Polar bears in Essen Bay off the coast of Zemlya Georga -- an island in the Franz Josef Land archipelago -- on August 22, 2021.

China in Transition

The suspension of Arctic Council activities following Russia's re-invasion of Ukraine presents an opening for China to challenge Arctic governance.

China's Opportunity to Break Into Arctic Governance

Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou on Sept. 24, 2021, in Vancouver, Canada. Beijing's tacit acknowledgment of its use of hostage diplomacy tactics leaves Canada's -- and the U.S. -- population and legislature thoroughly distrustful of it.

Beijing's tacit acknowledgment of its use of hostage diplomacy tactics leaves Canada's -- and the U.S. -- population and legislature thoroughly distrustful of it.

Despite Huawei CFO Release, Canadian and U.S. Tensions With China Will Persist

Guidance

Kenya

Hong Kong SAR, China

A trial at the Supreme Court of Kenya on June, 26, 2019, in Nairobi.

COVID-19

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Constitutional Reform in Kenya, a Mainland Meeting About Hong Kong

Ministers take part in the G-7 Health Ministers Meeting on June 4, 2021, in Oxford, England. The June 11-13 G-7 summit will provide an opportunity for members to hold bilateral meetings partly focused on shared concerns about China's rise

The Weekly Rundown: The G-7 Meets, a German Region Votes

Located on the North American continent, Canada is the world’s second-largest country. Most of Canada is uninhabited wilderness, and Arctic temperatures make the northern territories inhospitable to large population centers.     Canada became independent from the United Kingdom in 1867. The country is made up of 10 provinces and three territories. A majority of Canada’s 35 million people reside within 100 kilometers of the U.S. border, where the climate and topography support meaningful populations. However this population is spread across a distance of roughly 7,000 kilometers, from the Atlantic to the Pacific oceans. Canada's primary geographic challenge is maintaining unity across its diverse population cores, which include Toronto and Montreal in the Great Lakes watershed; the prairie provinces of Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta; and Vancouver on the Pacific coast.     The economies of these population cores are geared toward external trade as they try to meet demand for their services, manufactured goods and natural resources like oil. Heavy crude oil found largely in the province of Alberta is exported to U.S. and international markets, making Canada the world’s sixth-largest oil producer. Distance and climate are perennial challenges for Canada. The Trans-Canada Railway was Ottawa’s first effort, completed in 1886, to link Montreal, Toronto, the prairies and Vancouver. Redistribution payments, collected from resource-rich provinces and disbursed to resource-poor provinces and territories, is a contemporary policy aimed to unify and equalize provincial and territorial finances.     Because of its location, Canada is well within the U.S. sphere of influence and the country's freedom to act is constrained by U.S. interests.

North America Unrivaled

A Crude Recovery

SITUATION REPORTS

AUKUS: Joint Statement Hints at Expansion

Canada: NDP Exits Supply-and-Confidence Agreement Supporting Liberal Government

Mexico, Canada, U.S.: Mexican Diplomatic 'Pause' With U.S., Canadian Embassies Unlikely to Disrupt Businesses

Canada: Railway Operations Resume Despite Union Attempt To Launch Strike

Canada, China: Canada Imposes 100% Tariff on Chinese EVs

Canada: Labour Ministry Triggers Binding Arbitration To End Rail Lockout

Canada: Railways Begin Worker Lockout To Push for Contract Agreement

Afghanistan: Taliban Disavows Some Afghan Diplomatic Missions in Europe and Other Western Countries

Forecasts

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