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Uganda

Bolivia

Brazil

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Algeria

Egypt

Iran

Saudi Arabia

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

China

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Uzbekistan

Belarus

Kazakhstan

Russia

India

Politics

The BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia, adopted its summit declaration, which noted the creation of a BRICS "partner country" status, Reuters reported on Oct. 23.

BRICS: Bloc Creates Partner Status, Extends Status to 13 Countries

Germany

Economics

Energy

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz signed a series of agreements to increase bilateral cooperation with Uzbekistan across several areas, including critical raw materials and migration, Bloomberg reported on Sept. 15.

Germany, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan: Berlin Strengthens Central Asian Energy and Raw Material Ties

North Korea

South Korea

Environment, Science & Technology

Military & Security

Science & Technology

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol met with Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, and they signed various agreements on critical minerals, transportation infrastructure and development cooperation, partly under the banner of what Yoon has deemed the "K-Silk Road," Yonhap News Agency reported on June 14.

South Korea, Uzbekistan: Yoon Seeks His Own Belt and Road Initiative

Tajikistan

Afghanistan

Russia's Foreign Ministry and Justice Ministry advised President Vladimir Putin to remove the Afghan Taliban from Russia's list of terrorist organizations, Meduza reported on May 27.

Russia, Afghanistan: Russia Proposes Removing Taliban From List of Terrorist Organizations

Europe

Turkmenistan

Kyrgyzstan

At the Investors Forum for EU-Central Asia Transport Connectivity, European Commission Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis announced that European and international financial institutions will commit 10 billion euros ($10.84 billion) toward sustainable transport connectivity in Central Asia, Interfax reported on Jan. 29.

EU, Central Asia: EU-Central Asia Forum Pledges $10.8B for Transport Connectivity

Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev won the 2023 presidential election against virtually no opposition, enabling him to remain in power until at least 2030, The Moscow Times reported on July 10.

Uzbekistan: Mirziyoyev Wins Presidential Election, Extending His Rule to 2030

Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev announced an early presidential election for July 9, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported on May 8.

Uzbekistan: President Calls Snap Presidential Election for July 9

Lawmakers in Uzbekistan provisionally set an April 30 date for a long-delayed referendum on a new constitution, Eurasianet reported on March 10.

Uzbekistan: Constitutional Referendum Date Set for April 30

Assessments

United States

Cambodia

Japan

France

The Geopolitics of Water

The escalating impacts of climate change and water scarcity will inflame tensions between Central Asian countries, raising the risk of violent state conflict in the coming decades. 

The Geopolitics of Water: The Looming Threat of Central Asian 'Water Wars'

Pakistan

A delegation of Afghan Taliban officials walks down a hotel lobby in Doha, Qatar, in August 2021. 

A combination of security considerations and economic opportunities will continue to ease the Afghan Taliban's international isolation in the years ahead, but many countries will remain wary of close relations with the group or its formal recognition.

The Afghan Taliban's International Isolation Appears To Be Easing

A Kyrgyz serviceman at the Kyrgyz-Tajik border Sept. 20, 2022, in Min-Bulak, Kyrgyzstan. A border demarcation deal between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan would reduce the risk of a larger conflict between the countries in the years to come, ultimately boosting regional economic prospects and transit connectivity, as well as the credibility of the Collective Security Treaty Organization.

Such a deal would reduce the risk of a conflict between the two, boosting regional economic prospects along with the credibility of the Russia-led CSTO.

How a Border Deal Between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan Could Benefit Central Asia

Snapshots

U.S. President Joe Biden (C) and U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken (3R) participate in a meeting of the C5+1 with Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, Kyrgyz President Sadyr Zhaparov, Tajik President Emomali Rahmon, Turkmen President Serdar Berdymukhamedov and Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev in New York City on Sept. 19, 2023. 

The United States is set to modestly increase engagement with Central Asia, but constraints will prevent a significant upgrade in ties.

Biden's Central Asia Meeting Demonstrates the Region's Growing Importance

Columns

On Geopolitics

People seeking to return to work in Russia line up outside Tajikistan's state air ticket agency in the capital of Dushanbe on April 8, 2021. 

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

The ongoing war in Ukraine has left Russia in need of more soldiers, workers and political scapegoats -- a problem in which Central Asia's migrant population will play a critical role.

The Plight of Central Asian Migrants in Wartime Russia

People attend a rally in support of Uzbekistan's constitutional referendum on March 28, 2023, in the city of Jizzakh, located roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) south of the capital Tashkent.

Despite including provisions to strengthen civil liberties, the amendments are more aimed at securing President Mirziyoyev's grip on power by enabling him to run for two more terms.

In Uzbekistan, a Constitutional Referendum Is Unlikely to Portend Liberalization

Media

Podcasts

Central Asia is reemerging as a key region for trans-Eurasian trade, but not without complications.

Applied Geopolitics: Central Asia's Geopolitical Challenges

Chinese President Xi Jinping gives a speech in Hong Kong on July 1, 2022. 

The Chinese president's first post-COVID trip abroad will showcase Beijing's desire to boost economic cooperation with developing states like Kazakhstan, as well as solidify its partnership with Russia amid mounting competition with the West. 

Xi's Central Asia Visit Offers a Fresh Start for Chinese Diplomacy

Taliban fighters in armored vehicles in a military parade on April 19, 2022, in Herat, Afghanistan. Growing domestic and cross-border violence is aggravating insecurity, undermining Taliban governance and complicating relations with Afghanistan's neighbors.

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Jihadist Wars

Growing domestic and cross-border violence is aggravating insecurity, undermining Taliban governance and complicating relations with Afghanistan's neighbors.

Worsening Security in Afghanistan Threatens the Taliban at Home and Abroad

Guidance

Asia-Pacific

Myanmar

Members of a local election commission prepare a polling station in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, on Oct. 21, 2021, ahead of the country’s presidential election. 

Security

Environmental Issues

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: An Election in Uzbekistan, ASEAN Meets Without Myanmar

A U.S. military helicopter Aug. 15, 2021, above the U.S. Embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan. The Taliban's move on Kabul may yield it the government, but this is only the first step in establishing control in Afghanistan.

The Taliban's move on Kabul may yield it the government, but this is only the first step in establishing control in Afghanistan. As it negotiates for the transfer of power, we will be watching several additional aspects in the coming days and weeks.

Where Are the Taliban and Afghanistan Headed After the Fall of Kabul?

The War in Afghanistan

Mexico

Iranian President-elect Ebrahim Raisi holds a press conference June 21, 2021, in Tehran, Iran. Aside from foreign policy, Raisi's main short-term priorities will be improving the Iranian economy.

COVID-19

U.S.-Iran Relations

Instability in Central Asia

The Weekly Rundown: Inauguration Day in Iran, Military Drills in Central Asia

Uzbekistan is a landlocked country in Central Asia. The most populous state in the region, it is the only country to border all other Central Asian states. Uzbekistan is a significant producer and exporter of oil and natural gas which, along with agriculture, dominate the country's economy. These resources, as well as the country's strategic location and the presence of militant groups, have brought the interest of foreign powers such as China, Russia and the United States. Because of this, Uzbekistan's primary geographic challenge is to maintain unity while also balancing against its regional neighbors and external powers.     Historically, Uzbekistan was an important component of the Silk Road, and cities such as Samarkand, Bukhara and Khiva are still key political and population centers in the country. After Uzbekistan became overrun by the Mongols, it became the seat of an expansive Timurid dynasty. The territory of Uzbekistan was then divided between a series of Khanates before being absorbed into the Russian Empire in the 19th century. A former member of the Soviet Union, the landlocked country gained independence in 1991.     Modern day Uzbekistan is centered around its capital in Tashkent, though the country has substantial regional divisions. While the western half is largely sparsely populated desert, the majority of the population is concentrated in the demographic and agricultural heartland of Central Asia, the Fergana Valley.     The valley itself is divided by a series of complex and poorly defined borders established during the Soviet era to prevent the emergence of a unified Central Asian state. These borders have led to ethnic tensions, resource disputes, and the frequent border skirmishes between Uzbekistan and neighboring states such as Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.

A view of the Register in Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

SITUATION REPORTS

BRICS: Bloc Creates Partner Status, Extends Status to 13 Countries

Germany, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan: Berlin Strengthens Central Asian Energy and Raw Material Ties

South Korea, Uzbekistan: Yoon Seeks His Own Belt and Road Initiative

Russia, Afghanistan: Russia Proposes Removing Taliban From List of Terrorist Organizations

EU, Central Asia: EU-Central Asia Forum Pledges $10.8B for Transport Connectivity

Uzbekistan: Mirziyoyev Wins Presidential Election, Extending His Rule to 2030

Uzbekistan: President Calls Snap Presidential Election for July 9

Uzbekistan: Constitutional Referendum Date Set for April 30

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