Lebanon

Cyprus

Energy

Politics

Lebanon and Cyprus agreed to a final maritime demarcation agreement, nearly two decades after an initial deal determined maritime zones in 2007, Reuters reported Nov. 26.

Lebanon, Cyprus: Maritime Demarcation Agreement Reached

Turkey

Military & Security

Devlet Bahceli, a key ally of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, warned the self-proclaimed Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus against resuming talks on establishing a two-state federation on the divided island, saying annexation by Turkey was "inevitable" and calling for Northern Cyprus' parliament to declare the recent presidential election results invalid, Bianet reported on Oct. 21.

Turkey, Cyprus: Erdogan Advisor Pressures Northern Cyprus After Presidential Election

Egypt

Cyprus and Egypt signed agreements that would see Cyprus send offshore natural gas to Egypt, where liquefaction facilities at Idku and Damietta would commercialize and reexport the gas, AP reported on Feb. 17.

Cyprus, Egypt: Countries Sign Agreements To Export Cypriot Gas via Egypt

Israel

Israel-Hamas Conflict

In a televised address, Hezbollah's chief Hassan Nasrallah threatened Israel with a war without any redlines should one be "imposed" on them, Reuters reported on June 19. 

Lebanon, Israel: Hezbollah Chief Threatens Israel, Warns Cyprus, as Tensions Soar 

Luxembourg

Lithuania

Malta

Germany

Finland

Latvia

Czech Republic

Denmark

Greece

France

Estonia

Sweden

Belgium

Bulgaria

Portugal

Poland

Romania

Croatia

Austria

Slovakia

Slovenia

Netherlands

Spain

Italy

Ireland

Hungary

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

The European Commission recommended reducing the European Union's net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% by 2040 compared with 1990 levels, Reuters reported Feb. 6. 

EU: Brussels to Exclude Agriculture from 90% Emissions Reduction Target for 2040

Negotiators from EU member states and the European Parliament reached a preliminary agreement to overhaul the bloc's asylum and migration rules, Reuters reported on Dec. 20.

EU: Bloc's Institutions Reach Agreements on New Asylum and Migration Rules

Georgia

The European Council voted to grant EU candidate status to Georgia, and both government officials and opposition politicians in Georgia praised the decision, Civil Georgia reported on Dec. 14. 

Georgia: European Commission Recommends Georgia for EU Candidate Status

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), the Turkish-claimed side of the Cypriot capital Nicosia, and said that any negotiations with the internationally-recognized government of Cyprus must start by recognizing the sovereignty of the TRNC, AP reported on June 12.

Turkey: Erdogan Visits and Maintains Position on the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus

Assessments

Chile

Colombia

United States

Iran

China

United Kingdom

Plumes of smoke rise following reported explosions in Tehran on March 2, 2026, after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran on Feb. 28 killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other top military leaders, prompting a new wave of Iranian retaliatory missile attacks across the region. 

Economics

U.S.-Iran Relations

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: War in the Middle East, U.S.-China Trade Talks

The French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle (R91) on Feb. 25 at the quay of the North Port in Malmo, Sweden. A prolonged conflict in the Middle East would increase Europe's exposure to security risks, including potential attacks on European-linked assets, renewed migration pressures and an elevated terrorism threat, particularly if European capitals assume a more active military or diplomatic role against the Iranian regime.

A protracted regional war threatens to expose the Continent to risks ranging from cyberattacks against critical infrastructure to a renewed influx of asylum seekers.

Prolonged Conflict in Iran Would Elevate Security, Migration Threats Against Europe

Central African Republic

Guinea

Venezuela

Myanmar

Europe

Kosovo

Ukraine

Russia

The Bulgarian flag and the European flag waving in the wind.

The Weekly Rundown: Bulgaria Adopts the Euro, U.S.-Venezuela Tensions Persist

Snapshots

A massive flag of the self-proclaimed Turkish Republic of North Cyprus is seen on Dec. 28, 2023, in Nicosia, Cyprus.

Attempts by Turkey to coerce Northern Cyprus economically could inadvertently strengthen President Tufan Erhurman's support and his drive for federalization with the internationally recognized south.

Turkey Will Pressure New Northern Cypriot President To Abandon Federalization Talks

Members of the European Parliament take part in voting on the Artificial Intelligence Act during a plenary session at the European Parliament.

Cyber

The EU's recently negotiated Artificial Intelligence Act will bolster the European Union's dominance as a regulatory heavyweight in emerging technologies, yet anticipated enforcement challenges and stringent stipulations with the Act risk impeding AI innovation within the bloc.

EU Lawmakers Clinch Agreement on Artificial Intelligence Act 

Rail cars loaded with steel sit at the ThyssenKrupp Schwelgern steel plant on May 30, 2018 in Duisburg, Germany. 

The European Union and the United States will increase efforts to deconflict their trade and climate policies ahead of the upcoming U.S. presidential and EU parliamentary elections, but lingering disagreements will not allow for a complete respite of Trump-era tariffs on EU steel and aluminum.

EU-U.S. Steel and Aluminum Negotiations Make Limited Headway

The flags of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (L) and the Republic of Cyprus (R) are divided by a crack.

Despite Turkey-EU rapprochement, Cypriot reunification remains unlikely, but economic deals may still move forward.

Despite EU-Turkey Rapprochement, Cypriot Reunification Remains Out of Reach

Media

Podcasts

What does the EU-Turkey rapprochement mean, and could it reunify Cyprus?

Essential Geopolitics: Is EU-Turkey Rapprochement an Opportunity for Cypriot Reunification?

Angola

Mozambique

Republic of the Congo

Algeria

Iraq

Libya

Tunisia

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (2nd L) and Libya's Tripoli-based Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeibah (3rd L) attend an agreement-signing ceremony between Italian multinational oil and gas company Eni and the Libyan National Oil Corporation in Tripoli, Libya, on Jan. 28, 2023.

As Europe turns away from Russian energy, Italy positions itself as a natural gas conduit between the Continent and Africa.

With Energy Deals in Africa, Italy Positions Itself as Europe's Next Gas Hub

Guidance

United Arab Emirates

Argentine President Alberto Fernandez speaks during a rally in Merlo, Argentina, on Nov. 11, 2021, ahead of the country’s upcoming midterm elections. 

COVID-19

U.S.-China Relations

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Midterm Elections in Argentina, a Virtual Biden-Xi Summit

The Tianwen-1 probe is successfully launched on July 23, 2020, in Wenchang, Hainan, China.

The Weekly Rundown: Cypriot Sovereignty Talks and a Chinese Space Launch

Nigeria

Hong Kong SAR, China

A photo shows the Egina FPSO (Floating Production Storage and Offloading) unit berthed at a harbor in Lagos, Nigeria. 

Turkey's Resurgence

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

European Disintegration

The Suitors of Sub-Saharan Africa

The Weekly Rundown: Hong Kong Protests and Progress on Nigeria’s Oil Reform Bill

Cyprus is an island country in the Eastern Mediterranean surrounded by Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Egypt and Greece. The largest city on the island, Nicosia, lies between two mountain ranges, the Kyrenia Mountains in the north and the Troodos Mountains in the central south.     Major powers, including the Ottomans and the British, have occupied the island and established military bases there due to its strategic location. From Cyprus, these powers can project influence in the Mediterranean and the Levant, and they can easily access sea lanes and trade chokepoints between Europe, Africa and Asia, such as the Suez Canal.     Cyprus obtained independence in 1960, but foreign powers retained their interest in the country. The United Kingdom kept military bases in the island, and after a coup by pro-Greek forces in 1974, Turkey occupied the northern part of Cyprus. The island is often involved in the broader disputes between Greece and Turkey, and to this day, it remains divided between a mostly Greek-speaking south and a predominantly Turkish-speaking north. Turkey is the only country that recognizes Northern Cyprus as a state.     Cyprus and Turkey claim many of the same waters in the Mediterranean, and ever since natural gas reserves were discovered in these areas, the two nations have engaged in intensifying disputes about their exclusive economic zones. Cyprus joined the European Union in 2004, but membership applies de facto only in the south. In 2013, Cyprus had to request an international bailout to rescue its banks, many of which had a strong presence of wealthy Russians who used the island as a tax haven.    The island's strategic position has been a blessing and a curse, as the Cypriots are often subject to events and powers beyond their control. Thus, Cyprus' main geopolitical challenge is to retain as much autonomy as possible in an often-volatile neighborhood.  

SITUATION REPORTS

Lebanon, Cyprus: Maritime Demarcation Agreement Reached

Turkey, Cyprus: Erdogan Advisor Pressures Northern Cyprus After Presidential Election

Cyprus, Egypt: Countries Sign Agreements To Export Cypriot Gas via Egypt

Lebanon, Israel: Hezbollah Chief Threatens Israel, Warns Cyprus, as Tensions Soar

EU: Brussels to Exclude Agriculture from 90% Emissions Reduction Target for 2040

EU: Bloc's Institutions Reach Agreements on New Asylum and Migration Rules

Georgia: European Commission Recommends Georgia for EU Candidate Status

Turkey: Erdogan Visits and Maintains Position on the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus

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