United States

Iran

Oman

Military & Security

Politics

U.S.-Iran Relations

An Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson denied U.S. President Donald Trump's claim that the United States and Iran would begin talks on Aug. 3, but confirmed that Iran was involved in discussions with Oman over establishing a temporary shipping lane through the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported on Aug. 3. 

U.S., Iran: Iran Refutes Trump's Claims of New U.S.-Iran Talks

Iraq

Kuwait

Saudi Arabia

Energy

OPEC+ agreed on Aug. 2 to boost production quotas by 188,000 barrels per day in September, fully unwinding the bloc's 2023 voluntary production cuts.

OPEC+: Bloc Unwinds Final Voluntary Production Cuts

Egypt

Economics

The United States conducted airstrikes overnight on Iranian territory for the first time in days, striking targets around southern Iran, including Kish Island, Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas, Al Jazeera reported on July 30.

U.S., Iran: U.S. Resumes Limited Airstrikes on Iran

Jordan

Overnight on July 28-29, Iran launched several ballistic missiles at U.S. military installations in Jordan, all of which were intercepted, after U.S. and Saudi aircraft jointly struck multiple logistics and weapons sites used by Iran-backed militias across eastern Iraq, Reuters reported the same day.

Iran, U.S.: Renewed Strikes End Two-Day Pause in Direct Fighting

Middle East and North Africa

On July 28, a Reuters source said Oman had convinced Gulf Arab states to agree to a proposal for a voluntary tolling system in the Strait of Hormuz to resolve the current impasse with Iran, although neither the Gulf Arab states nor Iran confirmed that such an idea was viable.

Iran, U.S.: As Calm Persists, Oman Pitches Voluntary Hormuz Toll

Iran announced on July 26 that it would suspend its attacks against regional U.S. allies and interests as long as the United States also refrains from further strikes against Iran, Reuters reported the same day.

Iran, U.S.: Room for Talks, but Escalation Risks Persist

Iranian leaders rejected a temporary U.S. ceasefire proposal that Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi presented during his July 23 visit to Tehran, The New York Times reported on July 23, citing both Iraqi and Iranian officials.

U.S., Iran: Iran Rejects U.S. Ceasefire Proposal as Signs Point To U.S. Escalation

Yemen

U.S. officials said the U.S. military used a B-1 bomber for the first time in the renewed conflict with Iran to conduct July 21 attacks on Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets, Axios reported on July 22.

U.S., Iran: U.S. Uses B-1 Bombers for First Time in Renewed Conflict 

Assessments

Colombia

Venezuela

Israel

Lebanon

Europe

Colombia's President-elect Abelardo de la Espriella (R) delivers a speech during a military parade commemorating Colombia's Independence Day in Medellin, Colombia, on July 20, 2026. 

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Colombia's New President Takes Office, Brussels Gains AI Act Enforcement Powers

Ethiopia

South Africa

Brazil

China

Russia

India

(From left to right) Chinese President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and South African President Cyril Ramaphosa attend a plenary session at the BRICS summit in Kazan on Oct. 24, 2024.

The bloc's push to develop an independent payment system for trade will not immediately undermine the U.S. dollar's global dominance, though it could reduce the effectiveness of U.S. sanctions.

The Implications of an Independent BRICS Payment System

U.S. President Donald Trump (right) speaks during a meeting with Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi (2nd-L) in the Oval Office of the White House on July 14, 2026.

While the Iraqi prime minister's visit to the White House yielded some deals, implementation constraints will likely eventually lead to renewed U.S. economic pressure, further straining Baghdad's finances.

New U.S. Agreements Unlikely to Ease Iraq's Economic Woes

Peru

United Kingdom

Ukraine

A couple rides past Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles displayed at Azadi Square in Tehran on July 24.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The Weekly Rundown: A Likely U.S. Escalation in Iran, Zelensky Travels to Washington

Snapshots

Yemeni protesters take part in a demonstration held to send a message of defiance against the continued siege and any military escalation involving Saudi forces against Houthi-controlled northern Yemen on July 17. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Forced to bypass the disrupted Strait of Hormuz, Saudi Arabia's increased reliance on alternative routes leaves its critical oil shipments vulnerable to Houthi attacks.


Yemen's Houthis Threaten Saudi Oil Exports With Red Sea Blockade

Myanmar

Philippines

People pass a large banner depicting U.S. President Donald Trump with a target on his head during funeral ceremonies for Supreme Leade, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on July 5 in Tehran, Iran.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates, ASEAN and Major Power Foreign Ministers Meet

Bahrain

Qatar

United Arab Emirates

Vessels are seen anchored along the Strait of Hormuz on June 18, 2026. 

By demanding investment pledges from Gulf states after threatening a 20% toll, the White House is signaling its defense of global trade routes is now a transactional service rather than a core strategic commitment.

Security as a Service: The Risks of Trump's Transactionalism in the Strait of Hormuz

Media

Sub-Saharan Africa

Podcasts

Which Sub-Saharan countries face the highest risk of protests and unrest in the coming months?

The Decision Advantage: The Outlook for Security in Sub-Saharan Africa

Armed Yemeni supporters of the Iran-backed Houthi movement brandish their weapons during a protest against U.S. strikes on Iran in Sanaa on July 10, 2026. 

The attacks do not necessarily signal an immediate return to a full-scale war between the Saudis and the Houthis or a reignition of Yemen's civil conflict, but the likelihood of more frequent flare-ups in both theaters is increasing.

Saudi Arabia and the Houthis Exchange Airstrikes, Breaking Yearslong Unofficial Truce

Indonesia

Singapore

Thailand

France

ASEAN leaders hold hands for a group photo during the opening ceremony of the 48th ASEAN summit in Cebu, central Philippines on May 8, 2026. 

The Weekly Rundown: U.S.-Iran Tensions Remain High, ASEAN Foreign Ministers Meet With Myanmar

People pass a large banner depicting U.S. President Donald Trump with a target on his head, during funeral ceremonies for Iran's slain Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, at the Grand Mosalla on July 5 in Tehran, Iran. 

Global Trade

Recent tit-for-tat strikes between the United States and Iran signal the rising risk of a return to high-intensity regional conflict following the June 17 memorandum of understanding.


U.S.-Iran Truce at Risk of Collapse Over Hormuz Control Dispute

Cuba

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2026 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast Webcast

Iran sits at the crossroads of the Islamic world. Linking the Middle East, the Caucasus and Central and South Asia, Iran has struggled to balance the benefits and risks of its geographic position.    Iran's core is located in the western Zagros mountain range. From this secure geography, the beginnings of the Persian Empire spread throughout Iran's mountainous topography securing the Alborz, the southern Zagros and much of the Iranian plateau.    Iran's primary geographic challenge has been to secure itself from the many external threats on its borders. Arabs, Mongols and Turks all conquered ancient Persia at various times, prompting Persia to expand its territorial control whenever possible to establish a buffer to protect its core.    At its height, the Persian Empire stretched from the Eastern Mediterranean to the Hindu Kush mountains, bridging modern-day Europe and Asia. Echoes of this former empire can be seen even today, with Iran's support for Hezbollah in Lebanon, the al Assad regime in Damascus and the Shiite-led government in Iraq.    Iran has also struggled to unite and control the various language and ethnic groups located within its core territories, a process impeded by the country's difficult terrain. Modern-day Tehran is aided by its large hydrocarbon reserves; Iran boasts the fourth-largest oil reserves and largest natural gas reserves in the world. The 20th century saw British, Russian and American interests competing not only to control Iran's strategic geographic location, but its significant energy reserves as well.    This modern-day reliance on energy revenues has resulted in Iran's focus on securing the Strait of Hormuz and expanding control over the Persian Gulf to secure its core territories from the threat of outside invasion.

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Iran: Iran Refutes Trump's Claims of New U.S.-Iran Talks

OPEC+: Bloc Unwinds Final Voluntary Production Cuts

U.S., Iran: U.S. Resumes Limited Airstrikes on Iran

Iran, U.S.: Renewed Strikes End Two-Day Pause in Direct Fighting

Iran, U.S.: As Calm Persists, Oman Pitches Voluntary Hormuz Toll

Iran, U.S.: Room for Talks, but Escalation Risks Persist

U.S., Iran: Iran Rejects U.S. Ceasefire Proposal as Signs Point To U.S. Escalation

U.S., Iran: U.S. Uses B-1 Bombers for First Time in Renewed Conflict

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