Tanzania

Military & Security

Politics

Tanzanian President Samia Suluhu Hassan has ordered investigations into the abduction and killing of opposition members ahead of the country's local elections in November 2024 and 2025 general election, Bloomberg reported Sept. 8. 

Tanzania: President Orders Probe Into Opposition Leaders' Abduction and Killing

Sub-Saharan Africa

Nigeria

Zambia

United States

Middle East and North Africa

China

Economics

The ninth edition of the Forum on Africa-China Cooperation began in Beijing, China, Voice of America reported on Sept. 4.

China, Africa: Beijing Strikes Agreements as Africa-China Summit Kicks Off

The Tanzanian government announced that it would convene local government elections on Nov. 27, The Chanzo reported on Aug. 16.

Tanzania: Local Government Elections Scheduled for Nov. 27

The leader of Tanzania's opposition Chadema party, Tundu Lissu, was released on bail with other party leaders, The Citizen reported on Aug. 13.

Tanzania: Opposition Leader Released on Bail, But Supporters Remain Under Arrest  

Tanzanian authorities arrested opposition Chadema party leader Tundu Lissu on his way to a rally for International Youth Day in the city of Mbeya, Bloomberg reported on Aug. 12.

Tanzania: Authorities Arrest Opposition Leader, Ban Youth Gathering

Mozambique

Tanzania President Samia Suluhu Hassan and Mozambican President Filipe Nyusi pledged to bolster bilateral trade and energy cooperation, IPP Media reported July 2.

Tanzania, Mozambique: Countries Pledge To Bolster Bilateral Trade, Portending Sustained Counterterrorism Cooperation 

Ethiopia

Kenya

South Korea

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

South Korea is holding the inaugural South Korea-Africa Summit in Seoul from June 4-5, with Seoul's June 4 joint statement outlining areas of prospective cooperation, including critical minerals development, especially of cobalt, chrome, manganese and critical minerals for electric vehicles, batteries and new energy technology, Yonhap News Agency reported the same day.

South Korea, Africa: Summit Targets Minerals, New Markets, Presages Security and Financial Risks

Uganda

Energy

Uganda’s energy ministry announced that it had reached an agreement with Kenya whereby Kenyan authorities would grant state-owned Uganda National Oil Co., or UNOC, a license to import petroleum products via the port of Mombasa, Reuters reported on March 28.

Kenya, Uganda: Governments To Resolve Oil Import Dispute

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France

Yael Braun-Pivet, a French lawmaker for the ruling Renaissance party, delivers a speech after being reelected as National Assembly president following the third round of voting on July 18, 2024.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: France Resumes Political Horse-Trading, Blinken Returns to Middle East

Snapshots

Ghana

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol (R) speaks as Mauritanian President Mohamed Ould Ghazouani (L), chair of the African Union, listens during a joint press conference following the 2024 Korea-Africa Summit in Goyang, South Korea, on June 4, 2024.

A recent summit highlights South Korea's commitment to expanding its role in Africa as Yoon looks to strengthen his country's technological future and geopolitical influence.

In South Korea, Yoon's Desire for Supply Chains and Prestige Points to Africa

Tanzanian President Samia Suluhu Hassan (center) attends a mini-summit on the sidelines of the 36th Ordinary Session of the Assembly of the African Union (AU) in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, on Feb.17, 2023.

The opposition party's demands for greater reforms risk triggering a security crackdown that would harm Tanzania's new image as a safe and stable investment destination.

Opposition Rallies Test Tanzania's Commitment to Political Liberalization

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On Geopolitics

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Women sit under U.N.-branded cardboard boxes in Semera, Ethiopia, on Feb. 14, 2022, as they wait to be registered by the authorities at a hotel compound hosting civilians fleeing violence. 

Social Issues

GBV is often primarily seen as a women’s and human rights issue. But in sub-Saharan Africa, it is also a key constraint to stable (and democratic) governance, economic growth, and lasting peace.

The Geopolitics of Gender-Based Violence in Africa

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris listens to Tanzania's President Samia Suluhu Hassan make a statement to the press before a meeting in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building on April 15, in Washington, D.C.

U.S.-China Relations

The Suitors of Sub-Saharan Africa

China's influence over Tanzania is poised to grow as Beijing continues to invest in the country's infrastructure.

Tanzania's Business-Friendly Stance Opens the Door to U.S.-China Competition

Rwanda

The president of the Democratic Republic of Congo, Felix Tshisekedi, speaks during the African Union (AU) Summit in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, on Feb. 5, 2022.

Security

East African Integration

Congo's ports will grant the East African Community access to the Atlantic Ocean, but the country's overall poor infrastructure and security will limit the volume of trade with other bloc members. 

How Congo's EAC Membership Will Alter Trade in East Africa

Tanzanian President Samia Suluhu Hassan attends the U.N. climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland, on Nov. 2, 2021.

Hassan's efforts to reverse her predecessor's iron-fisted policies will help attract investment, but the scope may be limited by the global economic climate.

 Can Tanzania's New President Repair Her Country's Image?

A military convoy from a multinational intervention force on Aug. 5, 2021, in Pemba, Mozambique. Islamic State-backed militants appear to be shifting to a guerrilla insurgency in northern Mozambique, while intervening countries face a risk of reprisal attacks at home.

The Fight Against the Islamic State

Islamic State-backed militants appear to be shifting to a guerrilla insurgency in northern Mozambique, while intervening countries face a risk of reprisal attacks at home.

In Mozambique, a Victory Against Jihadists Likely Signals a New Guerrilla Campaign

Media

Chad

Podcasts

In this episode of the Stratfor Essential Geopolitics podcast from RANE, Stratfor senior global analyst at RANE Matthew Bey provides guidance about the impact of the deaths of Chad's and Tanzania's presidents. 

Essential Geopolitics: Two Sub-Saharan Nations Face New Leadership

People read newspapers announcing the death of Tanzanian President John Magufuli in Dar es Salaam on March 18, 2021. 

COVID-19

Old Leaders in a New Africa

While it’s upended Tanzania’s political cycle, Magufuli’s passing won’t immediately reverse the country’s drift toward authoritarianism.

Tanzania’s President Has Died, but His ‘Bulldozer’ Policies Will Live On 

Guidance

Japan

Germany

India

A staff member of the statistic office sorts postal voting envelopes by the numbers of the electoral districts on March 2, 2021, in Stuttgart, Baden-Wuerttemberg, Germany. A strong performance by the Greens in their Baden-Wuerttemberg stronghold would confirm their ambitions of entering the German government.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: The Tanzanian President's Health, and High-Level U.S.-China Meetings

Soldiers patrol the streets in Mocimboa da Praia, Mozambique, on March 7, 2018. 

The Jihadist Wars

Recent militant activity in northern Mozambique suggests a possible evolution of capabilities that could eventually grow to threaten LNG operations in Cabo Delgado.

An Insurgent Offensive Looms Large Over Mozambique's Energy Projects

Tanzania is an East African country on the coast of the Indian Ocean. It borders Uganda and Kenya to the north; Mozambique, Malawi and Zambia to the south; and the Democratic Republic of Congo, Burundi and Rwanda to the east.    Given Tanzania's geographical location, it has a dual identity: It is both a Great Lakes region state and a coastal, southern African state. The Great Lakes region is centered on Lake Victoria, Africa's largest lake. The massive body of water has acted as a transport artery for the peoples of the region for thousands of years, helping in the development of a relatively homogenous socio-cultural and linguistic identity. However, while Tanzania derives much from this part of its geography, it is also a thoroughly coastal power. The country's main population center falls on what is known as the Swahili coast. This positioning opened the country up to foreign interaction with Arab traders and others for centuries before British colonization. As a coastal state, Tanzania is able to look beyond the Great Lakes region and connect with southern Africa when it suits its interests.    Managing this geographic duality is a necessary challenge for Tanzanian leaders. However, an ever more pressing challenge will be felt in the years ahead as the country's ruling party, the Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), which is the longest reigning political party on the continent, grapples with inevitable electoral losses. Thus far, CCM has maintained its unparalleled dominance at the top of the Tanzania political system, but cracks will form in the years ahead. Indeed, there have already been signs of trouble: The government annulled the results of 2015 elections on the semi-autonomous island of Zanzibar in light of opposition success. How CCM's future leaders deal with electoral losses will have an outsized influence on the country's political stability.    On the economic front, Tanzania is likely set to benefit from natural gas projects off its southern coast. The potential windfall in the years ahead (which would also benefit neighboring Mozambique) could serve to increase Tanzania's coffers and its profile on the continent and beyond.

SITUATION REPORTS

Tanzania: President Orders Probe Into Opposition Leaders' Abduction and Killing

China, Africa: Beijing Strikes Agreements as Africa-China Summit Kicks Off

Tanzania: Local Government Elections Scheduled for Nov. 27

Tanzania: Opposition Leader Released on Bail, But Supporters Remain Under Arrest

Tanzania: Authorities Arrest Opposition Leader, Ban Youth Gathering

Tanzania, Mozambique: Countries Pledge To Bolster Bilateral Trade, Portending Sustained Counterterrorism Cooperation

South Korea, Africa: Summit Targets Minerals, New Markets, Presages Security and Financial Risks

Kenya, Uganda: Governments To Resolve Oil Import Dispute

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