Sub-Saharan Africa

Brazil

United States

China

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

The Chinese government will spearhead the creation of a body for countries to jointly develop artificial intelligence, Chinese Premier Li Qiang said at China's World Artificial Intelligence Conference on July 26.

China: Beijing Pitches Global AI Cooperation Body

Politics

The White House announced on July 23 a new "AI Action Plan" that aims to boost U.S. exports of artificial intelligence technology and reduce red tape in the AI sector, ensuring that federal funding is not directed toward states with "burdensome" AI regulations. 

U.S.: White House Unveils AI Blueprint

United Kingdom

Economics

The United Kingdom plans to move forward with legislative proposals to counter ransomware, according to the Home Office's formal government response to consultations with the private sector launched in January.

U.K.: Government Proposes Ransomware Payment Ban on Public Sector

Military & Security

Threat actors are actively exploiting a recently discovered zero-day vulnerability targeting on-premises Microsoft SharePoint servers, exposing thousands of public and private sector entities globally, a Microsoft advisory warned on July 19.

U.S.: Microsoft SharePoint Vulnerability Exposes Thousands of Entities

The United Kingdom's government is "seeking a way out" of its ongoing clash with the U.S. Trump administration over London's January notice to Apple ordering it to create a backdoor to access content uploaded to iCloud from any Apple user worldwide, the Financial Times reported on July 20.

U.K., U.S.: London May Reverse Demand for Apple To Break End-to-End iCloud Encryption

Following the conclusion of the long-anticipated "crypto week," the U.S. House of Representatives celebrated a major legislative victory on July 17 with the passage of the GENIUS Act, which U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to sign into law by July 18, CBS News reported the same day.

U.S.: 'Crypto Week' Wraps Up With One Major Legislative Victory, Other Bills Go to Senate

Russia

The British government sanctioned 18 people across three units of Russia's GRU military intelligence agency who are accused of conducting cyber and hybrid warfare operations targeting the United Kingdom and Ukraine, Bloomberg reported on July 18.

U.K., Russia: British Government Sanctions Russian Spies Over Hybrid Warfare

Iran

Israel

An Iranian-linked ransomware group is offering large financial payouts to affiliates that target Israeli and U.S. organizations, according to a new report by Israeli-based cybersecurity company Morphisec published on July 8.

Cyberspace: Iranian-Linked Ransomware Group Offers High Payout To Target Israeli, U.S. Entities

<p>Individuals, companies, governments and militaries alike all depend on computers. And as is so often the case, these dependencies create vulnerabilities that have made cybersecurity all the more important as proficiencies in cyber warfare and cyber crime improve. That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age. How governments and their constituents attune themselves to this brave new world will ultimately shape their relationship with the internet &mdash; and with each other.</p>

That technology constantly improves only adds to the problem of staying safe in the internet age.

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Security

Modernizing China’s Military

Globalization

Echoes of the Cold War

China in Transition

Assessments

A digital illustration shows a digital human head overlaying the EU flag.

Growing internal and U.S. pressure will likely force Brussels to delay or amend its landmark AI law, fueling short-term regulatory uncertainty that could hinder the technology's development in Europe.

The Fate of the EU's Ambitious AI Act

Media

Podcasts

What cyber limitations and capabilities do Iran and Israel have?

Essential Geopolitics: Increased Risk of Cyberattacks as Conflict With Iran Escalates

U.S.-Iran Relations

What role does AI play as both a disruptor and a tool in the risk management space? 

Applied Geopolitics: Leveraging AI To Anticipate and Mitigate Geopolitical and Supply Chain Risks 

Ukraine

Workers at a quarry Feb. 26, 2025 in the Zhytomyr region of Ukraine.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Von der Leyen Meets Starmer, a U.S.-Ukraine Minerals Deal

Energy

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Social Issues

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Global Elections

U.S.-China Relations

A photo of the U.S. Capitol overlaid with a pixilated blue and red pattern.

The United States will continue to prioritize AI innovation over regulation, and the European Union is set to partially reconsider its rules amid a broader push to increase competitiveness. 

The Future of AI Regulation Under the West's New Leadership

Syria

Nation-states' growing use of hacktivist personas to obfuscate responsibility will increasingly enable them to attack targets they would otherwise avoid and spread propaganda.

Hacktivism Offers Plausible Deniability for State-Backed Cyber Actors

Angola

Cote d'Ivoire

Ghana

Kenya

Nigeria

Argentina

Canada

Ecuador

Mexico

Algeria

Iraq

Jordan

Kuwait

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

Tunisia

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

Taiwan

Belarus

Pakistan

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RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2025 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2025

What is Salt Typhoon, and what happened in the recent hack against U.S. telecommunications companies? 

Essential Geopolitics: Unpacking China's Salt Typhoon Operation

India

The Geopolitics of Water

Water utilities are uniquely vulnerable to cyberattacks due to frequent financial and security limitations, exposing water-stressed countries to threats from hacktivists and foreign adversaries.

 The Geopolitics of Water: Cyberattacks' Impact on Water Stress in the U.S. and Beyond

Cargo containers painted with Chinese and U.S. flags. Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025.

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025.

2025 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Columns

On Geopolitics

3D illustration of two folders and a rubber stamp with the word "declassified" printed on a document.

The outgoing U.S. Biden administration's liberal use of "intelligence diplomacy" as a tool of foreign policy raises questions about how the incoming Trump administration will take up the torch.

Declassified: The Future of U.S. 'Intelligence Diplomacy'

Cyber

SITUATION REPORTS

China: Beijing Pitches Global AI Cooperation Body

U.S.: White House Unveils AI Blueprint

U.K.: Government Proposes Ransomware Payment Ban on Public Sector

U.S.: Microsoft SharePoint Vulnerability Exposes Thousands of Entities

U.K., U.S.: London May Reverse Demand for Apple To Break End-to-End iCloud Encryption

U.S.: 'Crypto Week' Wraps Up With One Major Legislative Victory, Other Bills Go to Senate

U.K., Russia: British Government Sanctions Russian Spies Over Hybrid Warfare

Cyberspace: Iranian-Linked Ransomware Group Offers High Payout To Target Israeli, U.S. Entities

Forecasts

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