Israel

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he considered U.S. President Donald Trump's plan to transfer Palestinians out of Gaza as the only "viable" path forward, AP reported on Feb. 16.

Israel, Gaza: Israelis Move Ahead With 'Voluntary' Population Transfer Plan

Yemen

Politics

Hamas said it would release Israeli hostages as previously planned on Feb. 15 and uphold the ceasefire deal with Israel following Egyptian and Qatari mediation, BBC reported on Feb. 13.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas To Release Hostages as Scheduled on Feb. 15

United States

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would resume its war in Gaza on Feb. 15 unless the Palestinian militant group Hamas agreed to release hostages per their ceasefire, Al Jazeera reported on Feb. 11.

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Threatens To Resume War if Hamas Does Not Release Hostages by Feb. 15

The Gaza-based Palestinian militant group Hamas announced that it would delay its next planned release of Israeli hostages from Feb. 15 "until further notice," accusing Israel of violating the terms of their ceasefire, CNN reported on Feb. 10.

Israel, Gaza: Hamas Delays Next Prisoner Release as Ceasefire Wobbles

Israel Defense Forces, or IDF, withdrew from the Netzarim Corridor, which bisects the Gaza Strip between the north and south, and thereby completed one of the conditions of the first phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, the BBC reported Feb. 9.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: IDF Withdraws from Netzarim Corridor in Gaza

The Israeli military reportedly blew up around 20 buildings in the West Bank's Jenin refugee camp as part of its two-week military operations targeting Palestinian militants and weapons stockpiles in the area that began on Jan. 21, Reuters reported on Feb. 2.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Military Operations Continue in the West Bank

Israel's security Cabinet voted to approve the three-phase ceasefire deal with Hamas, with the full Cabinet set to vote on Jan. 18, The Times of Israel reported on Jan. 17. 

Israel, Gaza: Ceasefire To Take Effect on Jan. 19 Pending Full Cabinet Approval

Israeli, Arab and U.S. officials said Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas had agreed in principle to a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip, CBS News reported on Jan 14. 

Israel, Gaza: Hamas, Israel Reach Agreement in Principle for First Phase of Ceasefire

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Crowds of Palestinians gather to receive food outside a U.N. aid distribution center in the Gazan city of Deir al-Balah on Nov. 2, 2024.

Social Issues

The displacement of any Palestinians from the Gaza Strip will further erode post-World War II norms against population transfers, laying the groundwork for future global conflicts.

Trump's Gaza Plan Risks Further Eroding Global Constraints on Population Removals

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Democratic Republic of the Congo

Ethiopia

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Sri Lanka

Damage on Feb. 13 in the Jabaliya refugee camp in northern Gaza.

Economics

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Mideast Ceasefires and Arab Gaza Proposals, the AU Summit

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Supporters of Yemen's Houthi movement brandish weapons and chant slogans as they take part in a protest staged in solidarity with the Palestinian people in Gaza on Jan. 17, 2025, in Sanaa, Yemen. 

The Houthis' intervention in the Israel-Hamas war has bolstered their military capabilities and domestic influence, which could embolden them to launch renewed offensives in southern Yemen.

What Will Yemen's Houthis Do With Their New-Found Strength?

Canada

Mexico

United Kingdom

Trucks wait to enter United States on Nov. 26, 2024, at the Otay crossing port in Tijuana, Baja California state, Mexico.

The Weekly Rundown: Trump's Tariffs, Congo Braces for More Fighting in the East

Egypt

Jordan

Displaced Palestinians return to their homes in the Shijaiyah neighborhood, Gaza City, on Jan. 28, 2025, following the Hamas-Israel ceasefire.

Egypt and Jordan will reject Trump's current proposal to resettle over a million Palestinians from Gaza to their territories due to fears of stoking domestic unrest, but they will likely permit smaller, gradual resettlements via illegal smuggling routes.

Trump Wants Egypt and Jordan To Take in Palestinians From Gaza. Will They Do It?

Media

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Annual Geopolitical Forecast.

2025 Annual Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

Qatar

Syria

Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani holds a press conference in Doha on Jan. 15, 2025, after Israel and Hamas agreed to a ceasefire in Gaza.

Despite Qatar's success in getting Hamas to accept a ceasefire with Israel, Trump will remain critical of Doha's support for Islamist movements in the region.

For Qatar, the Gaza Ceasefire Will Ease U.S. Pressure -- For Now

Indonesia

Germany

France

India

The West Front of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 17 in Washington. Donald Trump will be inaugurated as U.S. president on Jan. 20.

The Weekly Rundown: The Gaza Ceasefire, Trump's Inauguration

A smoke plume rises above destroyed buildings in northern Gaza on Jan. 13, 2025.

The truce will improve Israel's ties with Lebanon and Egypt, but eventual violations could reignite regional tensions, as could Israel's intensified counter-insurgency operations in the West Bank.

The Regional Implications of the Gaza Ceasefire

People celebrate while watching news coverage of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip on Jan. 15, 2025.

While it may de-escalate the current war, the deal does not address all drivers of conflict between Hamas and Israel, nor does it outline a post-war strategy for Gaza, portending a gradual return to violence.

A Ceasefire Eases the Gaza War, but Leaves Embers To Ignite the Next One

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

South Asia

Trade disruptions, shifting military conflicts and domestic political turbulence will shape global affairs in 2025. 

2025 Annual Geopolitical Forecast: An Excerpt

Cargo containers painted with Chinese and U.S. flags.

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our hits and misses in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

Grading Our 2024 Annual Forecast

U.S.-Iran Relations

Israel-Hamas Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

Israel, Gaza: Israelis Move Ahead With 'Voluntary' Population Transfer Plan

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Hamas To Release Hostages as Scheduled on Feb. 15

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Threatens To Resume War if Hamas Does Not Release Hostages by Feb. 15

Israel, Gaza: Hamas Delays Next Prisoner Release as Ceasefire Wobbles

Israel, Palestinian Territories: IDF Withdraws from Netzarim Corridor in Gaza

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Military Operations Continue in the West Bank

Israel, Gaza: Ceasefire To Take Effect on Jan. 19 Pending Full Cabinet Approval

Israel, Gaza: Hamas, Israel Reach Agreement in Principle for First Phase of Ceasefire

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