Israel

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Politics

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he had ordered the military to take control of 70% of the Gaza Strip, up from a currently estimated 64% and well beyond the confines of the October 2025 ceasefire agreement, The Times of Israel reported on May 28. 

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Orders Israeli Military To Take 70% of Gaza

United States

Iran

The Israel Defense Forces said it had confirmed the assassination of Hamas military chief Izz al-Din al-Haddad in Gaza on May 16, and Hamas also confirmed his death, The Times of Israel reported on May 18.

Israel, Gaza: Israel Assassinates Hamas Military Chief, Confirms Expanded Control of Gaza

Lebanon

Israel's navy intercepted nearly half of a fresh humanitarian flotilla attempting to break its blockade of the Gaza Strip, the first such interception since Israel and Hamas reached a ceasefire in September 2025, The Times of Israel reported on April 30.

MENA: Israel Tightens Control of Gaza, but Renewed Offensive Remains Unlikely Amid Instability in Lebanon

The Palestinian militant group Hamas continues to insist on a guarantee that Israeli troops will withdraw from Gaza before disarmament talks proceed, reinforcing the group's long-standing demand that Israel eventually abandon Gaza in order to end the nearly three-year-old war, Reuters reported on April 2.

Israel, Gaza: Hamas Wants Israeli Troops To Withdraw Before Disarmament

Economics

Israel said it would reopen Rafah's Kerem Shalom border crossing between Gaza and Egypt after initially closing it on Feb. 28 over the outbreak of the Iran conflict, AFP reported on March 3.

Israel, Gaza: Israel To Reopen Rafah Border Crossing

Middle East and North Africa

Qatar

United Arab Emirates

Energy

On March 1, following the assassination of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Guardian Council member Alireza Arafi was appointed to Iran's Leadership Council, alongside President Masoud Pezeshkian and Chief Justice Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei, to exercise the Supreme Leader's powers until a permanent successor is chosen, Al Jazeera reported the same day. 

Iran: Transitional Council Appointed To Lead Country Following Khamenei Assassination

U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened for a three-hour meeting on Feb. 11, during which they failed to agree on an approach to Iran and Gaza, according to official statements released by the Israeli Prime Minister's Office and Trump on Truth Social.

U.S., Israel: Trump-Netanyahu Meeting Fails To Yield Alignment on Iran, Gaza

U.S.-Iran Relations

Israel's Southern Command has been building operational plans for a long offensive against the Palestinian militant group Hamas in the Gaza Strip should the government conclude that disarming the group is no longer feasible through diplomacy, The Times of Israel reported on Feb. 10.

Israel, Gaza: Israel Drawing Up Fresh War Plans for Gaza

Snapshots

A fireball and smoke erupt from a building following an Israeli strike in Tyre, southern Lebanon, on May 28.

The recent expansion of Israeli operations in southern Lebanon demonstrates an effort to degrade Hezbollah's capabilities prior to any finalized de-escalation agreements between the United States and Iran.


The Strategic Implications of Israel's Expanded Lebanon Campaign

Assessments

Germany

United Kingdom

Slovenia

Spain

Ireland

Hungary

The EU and Israeli flags in March 2024 in central Berlin's Rotes Rathaus. Although the European Union has sanctioned extremist Israeli settlers, deep-seated internal divisions and a reliance on Israeli defense systems will likely prevent the bloc from imposing comprehensive trade restrictions.

Although the European Union has sanctioned extremist Israeli settlers, deep-seated internal divisions and a reliance on Israeli defense systems will likely prevent the bloc from imposing comprehensive trade restrictions.

Targeted EU Sanctions on Israeli Settlers Unlikely To Broaden Into Wider Restrictions 

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

South Asia

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Columns

On Geopolitics

Syria

Photos of prominent Hezbollah leaders are seen at the site of a reported Israeli airstrike which killed 6 members of the same family, on March 19, 2026 in Baalbek, Lebanon.

The trajectory of the war will be increasingly defined by a clash of strategic objectives that makes a quick resolution of the conflict unlikely.


The Impact the Israel-Hezbollah War Will Have on Lebanon

A view shows tents near the Port of Gaza in the Gaza Strip on Feb. 9, 2026.

With its focus on Iran, the U.S. is unlikely to greenlight a major new Israeli offensive in Gaza anytime soon, which will complicate Netanyahu's efforts to remove Hamas from the Strip before the October elections.

Netanyahu Will Struggle To Defeat Hamas Before Israeli Elections

Indonesia

Vietnam

Slovakia

Ukraine

Russia

India

U.S. President Donald Trump (C) holds up his signature on the founding charter of the Board of Peace among other world leaders at the World Economic Forum on Jan. 22 in Davos, Switzerland.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: The Board of Peace Convenes, Russia-Ukraine-U.S. Talks in Geneva

China

Japan

South Korea

Egyptian trucks and heavy machinery on Oct. 26, 2025, on the Egyptian side of the Rafah border crossing with the Gaza Strip.

The Weekly Rundown: A Gaza Border Reopening, EU Leaders Visit India

U.S. President Donald Trump (center) holds up his signature on the founding charter among world leaders during a ceremony for the Board of Peace at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 22, 2026.

The U.S.-led endeavor's immediate priority will be expanding aid in Gaza, but internal divisions, international skepticism and Israeli interference will likely undermine its effectiveness, especially if the Israel-Hamas ceasefire collapses.

What To Make of Trump's 'Board of Peace'

Greenland

Denmark

France

Switzerland

A sniper police officer on the Congress hotel during the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum on Jan. 24, 2025, in the Alpine resort of Davos, Switzerland.

The Weekly Rundown: Davos, Europe Steps Up Greenland Deployments

Iraq

Yemen

A stock image shows the silhouettes of soldiers.

Emboldened by its recent capture of Venezuela's Maduro, the White House will likely seek to kill and potentially abduct more Middle Eastern extremists in the coming year, but pursuing high-profile targets like Iranian leaders will carry significant risks.

Potential Targets for U.S. Assassination and Abduction Operations in the Middle East

As elections reshape political incentives worldwide, 2026 will see major powers recalibrate diplomacy and conflict, raising the risk of fragile deals, regional instability and sudden escalation.

2026 Annual Geopolitical Forecast: An Excerpt

U.S.-China Relations

A NASA satellite image shows the city lights of Europe. 

Global Trade

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our hits and misses in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

Grading Our 2025 Annual Forecast

Israel-Hamas Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

Israel, Gaza: Netanyahu Orders Israeli Military To Take 70% of Gaza

Israel, Gaza: Israel Assassinates Hamas Military Chief, Confirms Expanded Control of Gaza

MENA: Israel Tightens Control of Gaza, but Renewed Offensive Remains Unlikely Amid Instability in Lebanon

Israel, Gaza: Hamas Wants Israeli Troops To Withdraw Before Disarmament

Israel, Gaza: Israel To Reopen Rafah Border Crossing

Iran: Transitional Council Appointed To Lead Country Following Khamenei Assassination

U.S., Israel: Trump-Netanyahu Meeting Fails To Yield Alignment on Iran, Gaza

Israel, Gaza: Israel Drawing Up Fresh War Plans for Gaza

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