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Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

U.S. President Joe Biden will discuss relaxing restrictions on strikes inside Russia when he meets U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer Sept. 13, Bloomberg reported Sept. 12. 

U.S., U.K., Russia, Ukraine: U.S. and U.K. Preparing to Relax Restrictions on Strikes Inside Russia

Russia's Defense Ministry said Ukraine carried out its largest drone attack on Moscow so far, targeting civilian transport infrastructure in the Russian capital and eight other regions of the country, Reuters reported Sept. 10.

Russia, Ukraine: Ukraine Conducts Largest Drone Attack Yet Against Moscow Region

Latvia

On Sept. 8, a Russian military drone crashed inside Latvia 60 miles from the country's border with Belarus, from where it entered, Reuters reported Sept. 9.

Latvia, Russia: Russian Drone Violates Latvian Airspace 

Iran

Europe

Politics

After months of EU and U.S. warnings, Iran sent Russia short-range ballistic missiles for use in the Ukraine war, The Wall Street Journal reported on Sept. 6, citing U.S. and European officials.

Iran: Tehran Sends Russia Ballistic Missiles for Use in Ukraine

U.S.-Iran Relations

Speaking at a press conference, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he would present U.S. President Joe Biden, as well as presidential candidates Vice President Kamala Harris and ex-President Donald Trump, with a plan for Ukrainian victory next month, the Kyiv Independent reported Aug. 27. 

Ukraine, U.S.: Zelensky to Present Biden, Trump and Harris With Victory Plan 

Energy

Russia launched its largest air attack against Ukraine so far, using over 100 missiles (including hypersonics) and over 100 drones, and Ukraine’s air force claimed it shot down 102 missiles and 99 drones, The Kyiv Independent reported on Aug. 26.

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Conducts Largest Air Attack Against Ukraine, Targeting Energy Infrastructure

Russia shot down Ukrainian drones over the village of Vysoky in the northern portion of Russia's Murmansk region near the Olenya military airfield, The Moscow Times reported on Aug. 21.

Russia, Ukraine: Ukraine Attempts Long-Distance Strike in Russia's Murmansk Region

The Ukrainian military acknowledged that Russian forces have advanced deep into the town of Niu-York but claimed that clashes are ongoing in the northern outskirts of the town, the Kyiv Independent reported Aug. 20.

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Captures Niu-York, Ukraine's Final Stronghold on Pre-2022 Line of Contact

Assessments

A man looks at the road blocked by striped tape on December 13, 2023, in Kyiv, Ukraine, following two nights of ballistic missile attacks on the city.

Ukraine faces its most challenging post-invasion winter yet due to intensified Russian attacks on energy infrastructure that may drive more Ukrainians to flee and worsen the country's manpower shortage.

Ukraine Faces Harshest Winter Yet Amid Intensified Russian Attacks on Energy Infrastructure

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during the Summit on Peace in Ukraine on June 15, 2024, in Lucerne, Switzerland. 

If elected U.S. president, Harris would likely initially maintain Biden's approach to Ukraine, but new White House officials, political pressure and events on the battlefield could change her administration's policies and strategy.

How Could a Harris Presidency Impact the War in Ukraine?

Germany

France

Italy

A Russian warship transits the Neva River in Saint Petersburg, Russia.

Cyber

Russia's risk tolerance for physical and cyber operations against Western targets appears to be increasing, raising the likelihood of more disruptive and/or violent attacks.

A More Brazen Russia Slowly Raises the Specter of a NATO Confrontation

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Australia

Samoa

Federated States of Micronesia

Fiji

Kiribati

Marshall Islands

Nauru

New Zealand

Palau

Papua New Guinea

Solomon Islands

Tonga

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky holds a flag during a ceremony on Ukraine's Independence Day on Aug. 24, 2023, in Kyiv, Ukraine. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Gaza Cease-Fire Talks Resume, Ukraine Observes Third Post-Invasion Independence Day

Snapshots

India

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrives for a working session on the second day of the G-7 summit in Schloss Elmau, Germany, on June 27, 2022. 

The trip is likely aimed at addressing backlash from the prime minister's recent visit to Russia, as India tries to mitigate Western criticism and reinforce its neutrality in the Ukraine conflict.

Modi's Upcoming Visit to Ukraine Reflects India's Balancing Act

Columns

On Geopolitics

A recreational sailing yacht suspected of use in the sabotage of undersea gas pipelines stands in dry dock on the headland of Bug on Ruegen Island on March 17, 2023, near Dranske, Germany. In a high-profile article published late on Aug. 14, The Wall Street Journal provided the latest and arguably most detailed publicly available account that Ukraine was responsible for sabotaging the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines under the Baltic Sea in late September 2022.

The Wall Street Journal provided the latest and arguably most detailed publicly available account that Ukraine was responsible for sabotaging the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, a reminder to us of the importance of acknowledging and doing our best to mitigate our analytic biases.

What New Revelations About the Nord Stream Attack Can Remind Us About Analytical Biases

Media

Podcasts

Economics

How would a Trump administration's Ukraine policy differ from a Harris administration's Ukraine policy? 

Essential Geopolitics: What a Trump Presidency Would Mean for the Russia-Ukraine War

Then-U.S. President Donald Trump speaks with media on Sept. 21, 2017, before meeting Ukraine's then-president Petro Poroshenko on the sidelines of the 72nd U.N. General Assembly. 

If Trump returns to the White House, he would likely deprioritize U.S. support for Ukraine, weakening Kyiv's negotiating position vis-a-vis Russia while dimming the prospects of temporary or lasting peace.

How Could a Second Trump Presidency Impact the War in Ukraine?

Kenya

South Africa

Venezuela

Saudi Arabia

China

U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during a press conference at the 75th NATO Summit in Washington, D.C., on July 11, 2024. 

Biden's exit from the U.S. presidential race will free him to pursue more aggressive action against Russia over Ukraine and increase pressure on Israel to end its war with Hamas. 

What To Expect from Biden's Foreign Policy Farewell Tour

U.S.-China Relations

U.S. President Joe Biden on Nov. 1, 2023, in Washington.

U.S. President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race and endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris make her the likely Democratic candidate. While any Democratic president would face significant obstacles in enacting policy due to legislative and judicial constraints, foreign policy positions would remain largely aligned with Biden's, particularly on China, Russia and NATO. 

What Biden's Withdrawal Means for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Global Elections

U.S. President Joe Biden meets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on the sidelines of the NATO summit in Washington D.C. on July 11, 2024.

The Western alliance's failure to provide Ukraine with decisive security guarantees and material support will likely enable Russia to maintain its war until Kyiv enters talks on Moscow's terms. 

The NATO Summit Leaves Ukraine Wanting

Forecast Webcast

Environment, Science & Technology

Social Issues

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2024 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast.

2024 Third-Quarter Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., U.K., Russia, Ukraine: U.S. and U.K. Preparing to Relax Restrictions on Strikes Inside Russia

Russia, Ukraine: Ukraine Conducts Largest Drone Attack Yet Against Moscow Region

Latvia, Russia: Russian Drone Violates Latvian Airspace

Iran: Tehran Sends Russia Ballistic Missiles for Use in Ukraine

Ukraine, U.S.: Zelensky to Present Biden, Trump and Harris With Victory Plan

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Conducts Largest Air Attack Against Ukraine, Targeting Energy Infrastructure

Russia, Ukraine: Ukraine Attempts Long-Distance Strike in Russia's Murmansk Region

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Captures Niu-York, Ukraine's Final Stronghold on Pre-2022 Line of Contact

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