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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The Kremlin issued unusually sharp warnings about the potential U.S. supply of Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, Reuters reported on Oct. 12.

Russia, Ukraine, U.S.: Kremlin Issues Escalation Threats Over Potential Tomahawk Delivery

Europe

Energy

Several EU members, including France, the Netherlands and Romania, have increased imports of Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) this year, Reuters reported Oct. 10.

Europe: EU Countries Continue to Purchase Russian LNG, Undercutting Bloc's Sanctions Strategy

Russia launched its largest combined missile-and-drone assault on Ukraine since early 2023, striking energy infrastructure across nine regions and leaving parts of Kyiv without power and water, Bloomberg reported on Oct. 10.

Ukraine: Moscow's Winter Blitz Tests Kyiv's Endurance and the West's Will

Politics

NATO members are considering stronger deterrence measures in response to increasingly brazen Russian provocations, the Financial Times reported Oct. 9, citing alliance officials briefed on the talks.

Europe, Russia: NATO Considers Allowing Pilots To Shoot Down Russian Jets

EU member states agreed in principle to measures aimed at restricting the movement of Russian diplomats within the bloc, Reuters reported Oct. 7, citing EU officials.

EU, Russia: Member States Agree To Restrict Russian Diplomats' Movements

The United States agreed to give Ukraine targeting data to help guide long-range missile strikes against Russian energy sites, The Wall Street Journal reported Oct. 1.

Ukraine: U.S. Expands Intelligence Support for Strikes Inside Russia

The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in Russian-occupied southern Ukraine has been without external electricity since Sept. 23, when its last remaining power line was severed during fighting, Reuters reported on Oct. 1.

Ukraine, Russia: Europe's Largest Nuclear Plant Teeters as Power Cut Extends Beyond a Week

Ukraine's top commander, Oleksandr Syrskyi, said Russia's 2025 summer offensive failed to achieve its main goals, Reuters reported on Sept. 26.

Ukraine, Russia: Kyiv Declares Russia's Summer Offensive 'Disrupted' 

Assessments

Russian flag on a cracked wall, illustrating an economic decline with a downward arrow. 

Despite high consumer confidence, underlying economic indicators show a significant contraction in non-defense industrial production, slowing consumption and falling investment, signaling that the Kremlin's war economy is steadily deteriorating.

Russia's War Economy Is Faltering

Media

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Global Trade

Israel-Hamas Conflict

What should companies be on the lookout for through the end of 2025 and beyond?

Essential Geopolitics: Trends From RANE's 2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

South Asia

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

The fourth quarter will bring shifting trade tactics, evolving wars, and pivotal elections and flashpoints worldwide that will test governments’ stability and market confidence.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Guyana

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Australia

Japan

The President of the 80th session of the U.N. General Assembly and former German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock speaks during a General Assembly meeting to vote on a two-state solution to the Palestinian question on Sept. 12 at the United Nations in New York. Countries including Australia, Canada, France and the United Kingdom will likely formally recognize Palestinian statehood over the next several days at the assembly.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Western Countries Recognize Palestine, the EU Discusses a 'Drone Wall'

Snapshots

Poland

Russia's drone incursion into Poland highlights Moscow's increasing willingness to test Western resolve as it continues mass airstrikes on Ukraine, prepares for war games in Belarus and negotiations to end the war are stalled. 


Russian Drones Crossing into Poland Risk Escalation with NATO

Ecuador

Mexico

China

North Korea

India

Helicopters fly in the sky during a rehearsal for a military parade Aug. 24 in Beijing.

The Weekly Rundown: An SCO Summit, Rubio Closes Security Deals With Mexico and Ecuador

Trump and Zelensky at the White House West Wing in Washington, DC, on August 18, 2025.

Even as President Trump floats the possibility of a trilateral summit with Putin and Zelensky, a breakthrough in negotiations is unlikely given the Kremlin's noncommittal response to the Aug. 18 White House talks. 

Despite Flurry of U.S. Diplomacy, a Ukraine Peace Deal Will Remain Elusive

Columns

On Geopolitics

U.S. President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin pose ahead of a meeting in Helsinki, Finland, on July 16, 2018. 

As Putin and Trump prepare to meet in Alaska, the main risk for Ukraine is a U.S.-Russia deal that cements major territorial losses while offering weak security guarantees, leaving it vulnerable to future Russian aggression.

Putin-Trump Summit: The Risks for Ukraine

U.S. President Donald Trump (R) looks at Russia's President Vladimir Putin on Nov. 30, 2018, during the G20 Leaders' Summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina. U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to meet in the coming days.

The Weekly Rundown: A Trump-Putin Summit, the Deadline for a U.S.-China Tariff Pause

U.S. President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin arrive at a press conference after their summit on July 16, 2018, in Helsinki, Finland.

The meeting risks sidelining Ukraine and enabling Russia to delay sanctions, consolidate battlefield gains, and advance its strategic interests through a U.S.-Russia peace framework.

What To Expect From the Upcoming Trump-Putin Summit

An oil tanker train passes near a refinery in Guwahati, India, on March 30, 2023. 

For now, India will likely keep importing cheap Russian oil in the hopes it can soon secure tariff relief, either directly via a U.S. trade deal or indirectly via a breakthrough in U.S.-Russia talks on Ukraine.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

Russia, Ukraine, U.S.: Kremlin Issues Escalation Threats Over Potential Tomahawk Delivery

Europe: EU Countries Continue to Purchase Russian LNG, Undercutting Bloc's Sanctions Strategy

Ukraine: Moscow's Winter Blitz Tests Kyiv's Endurance and the West's Will

Europe, Russia: NATO Considers Allowing Pilots To Shoot Down Russian Jets

EU, Russia: Member States Agree To Restrict Russian Diplomats' Movements

Ukraine: U.S. Expands Intelligence Support for Strikes Inside Russia

Ukraine, Russia: Europe's Largest Nuclear Plant Teeters as Power Cut Extends Beyond a Week

Ukraine, Russia: Kyiv Declares Russia's Summer Offensive 'Disrupted'

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