United States

India

Economics

Politics

In a post on Truth Social, U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on India beginning Aug. 1, and he indicated that an additional penalty could follow due to India's defense and energy purchases from Russia, the Financial Times reported on July 30.

U.S., India: Trump Announces 25% U.S. Tariff on Indian Goods Starting Aug. 1

Pakistan

Military & Security

Amid parliamentary debate on India's handling of its May conflict with Pakistan, Home Minister Amit Shah announced on July 29 that Indian security forces near the Kashmiri summer capital of Srinagar on July 28 killed three men responsible for the deadly April 22 attack on civilians near the Kashmiri town of Pahalgam, Hindustan Times reported on July 29.

India: Home Minister Says Security Forces Killed Perpetrators of April Attack in Kashmir 

United Kingdom

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi signed a bilateral trade deal that aims to increase trade between the two countries by 25.5 billion pounds ($34 billion) by 2040, Reuters reported on July 24.

India, U.K.: London and New Delhi Sign Free Trade Agreement

China

India's Embassy in Beijing announced that it would resume issuing tourist visas for Chinese nationals beginning July 24 after a years-long suspension following the two sides' major 2020 border clash, Reuters reported on July 23.

India, China: India To Resume Issuing Tourist Visas to Chinese Nationals

Canada

Australia

Fiji

Indonesia

Japan

Malaysia

New Zealand

Papua New Guinea

Philippines

Singapore

South Korea

Thailand

Tonga

Vietnam

Germany

France

Norway

Netherlands

Australia launched U.S.-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems as part of the 2025 Exercise Talisman Sabre, the largest iteration of the biennial multinational drills to date, AP reported on July 14.

Australia: HIMARS Fired Amid Largest-Ever Military Drills

Ethiopia

Nigeria

South Africa

Uganda

Brazil

Cuba

Iran

United Arab Emirates

Uzbekistan

Belarus

Kazakhstan

Russia

BRICS+ leaders gathered in Brazil for the bloc's 17th summit and issued a joint statement defending multilateralism, calling for U.N. reform and supporting Russia's and Iran's positions in ongoing conflicts, g1 reported on July 6.

BRICS+: Bloc Increasingly Leans Away From West, but Avoids Picking Fights With U.S.

Zambia

The Indian government dispatched a team of geologists to explore cobalt and copper deposits across a 9,000 square kilometer (3,475 square mile) area allocated by the Zambian government, Reuters reported on July 2.

Zambia: India Begins Fresh Exploration Works for Cobalt, Copper Deposits

Israel

According to a June 19 press release from the media wing of Pakistan's military, Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir and U.S. President Donald Trump's June 18 meeting focused on regional security, counterterrorism cooperation and expanding bilateral ties in trade, technology and energy.

Pakistan, U.S: Pakistan's Field Marshal Meets With Trump

Assessments

Europe

A photo taken in Tehran, Iran, on June 26, 2025, shows an Iranian political banner hanging near the remains of a residential building struck by an Israeli attack. 

Global Trade

Israel-Hamas Conflict

U.S.-Iran Relations

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Fragile Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, U.S. Tariff Deadline Approaches

Water runs in the Gurez valley in India-administered Jammu and Kashmir, near the India-Pakistan border, on June 3, 2025. 

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

Diplomatic talks between India and Pakistan will likely remain stalled due to ongoing airspace closures and disputes over water-sharing, sustaining the risk of a future conflict following the two countries' military confrontation earlier this year.

Unresolved Tensions: Water, Airspace and the Future of India-Pakistan Diplomacy

Turkey

The Geopolitics of Trade

Turkey's export strategy necessitates trade partnerships with countries in many different spheres of influence, portending both risks and opportunities as Ankara attempts to maintain its neutral middle-power status.

The Geopolitics of Trade: Turkey's Export Strategy Hinges on Neutrality

Media

Podcasts

Will the cease-fire between the two countries last?

Essential Geopolitics: The Outlook for India-Pakistan Relations

India's evolving trade strategy aims to boost key exports while protecting sensitive sectors, reflecting a blend of liberalization and long-standing protectionist instincts.

The Geopolitics of Trade: India

The Bombay Stock Exchange building May 7 in Mumbai, India. If military hostilities were to resume and lead to a prolonged conflict, Pakistan would be far less well-positioned than India to sustain it from an economic and financial perspective.

If military hostilities were to resume and lead to a prolonged conflict, Pakistan would be far less well-positioned than India to sustain it from an economic and financial perspective.

The Economic Case for an India-Pakistan Ceasefire

Snapshots

Indian soldiers pay respect during a wreath-laying ceremony for a soldier who was killed during a cross-border firing between India and Pakistan, in Jammu on May 12, 2025. 

While the near-term threat of severe escalation has waned, ongoing tensions over thorny issues like Kashmir and water-sharing will sustain the risk of cross-border flare-ups.

Amid India and Pakistan's Tenuous Ceasefire, Future Flare-Ups Remain Possible

Soldiers and onlookers inspect the debris of a mosque damaged by Indian strikes in Muzaffarabad, the capital of Pakistan-administered Kashmir, on May 7, 2025. 

While a full-scale conflict remains unlikely, escalating tensions will increase security risks in both countries, including travel and business disruptions, nationalist protests, potential militant attacks, and increased cyber threat activity.

India's Retaliation for Kashmir Attack Will Provoke a Pakistani Response

An Indian paramilitary trooper patrols a market area in Pahalgam, south of Srinagar, in India-held Kashmir, on April 29, 2025. 

India will likely soon launch limited military strikes against Pakistan in retaliation for the deadly April 22 Kashmir attack, raising the risk of escalation despite both sides' desire to avoid a full-scale war.

The Drivers and Constraints to a Wider India-Pakistan Conflict

Italy

Ukraine

Indian soldiers stand guard atop their vehicle in Srinagar, India, on April 23, 2025, following a deadly militant attack on tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir.

The Weekly Rundown: Escalating Pakistan-India Tensions, Canadian Elections and Pope Francis' Funeral

Will India be able to stay on track for its growth goals?

Essential Geopolitics: The Outlook for India's Economy

An Indian paramilitary serviceman keeps watch in Pahalgam, south of Srinagar, on April 23, 2025, following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir. 

India and Pakistan's exchange of tit-for-tat diplomatic and economic moves is raising the risk of a military escalation, while also fueling domestic unrest due to rising nationalist sentiment in both countries.

India-Pakistan Tensions Surge Following Deadly Kashmir Attack

<p>India is endowed with favorable geographic barriers. Surrounded by oceans on three sides and the formidable Himalayan Mountains to the north, what is now modern India has been free of outside interference for much of its long history. Its large geographic size and population, coupled with weaker peripheral nations on much of its boundaries, have allowed India to become the dominant force in South Asia. Home to the world&rsquo;s second-largest population, India&rsquo;s 1.3 billion people are spread out across the peninsular nation, from the foothills of the Himalayas to the tropical south. India&rsquo;s population core is settled along the Ganges river basin, a densely populated swath of fertile land that extends across the northern Himalayan border. India&rsquo;s primary geographic challenge comes from a lack of strong internal boundaries. Modern-day India struggles to rectify the ambitions of a relatively weak national government that competes with the prerogatives of strong, diverse states &mdash; a legacy of a long history of domestic infighting between various dynasties uninhibited by mountains or other defining geography. A similar lack of defining geography still plagues India&rsquo;s northwest border. Waves of Greek, Persian, and Mongols invaded, culminating in the Mughal Empire, which united much of the subcontinent prior to British conquest. The northwestern border still poses national security risks, due to ongoing disputes with Pakistan. But rising domestic consumption means India is increasingly dependent on imported goods from distant suppliers. Surrounded by water or impassable mountains, New Delhi now faces the additional task of developing naval capabilities to secure its critical supply routes, risking maritime tensions with China in the broader Indo-Pacific basin.</p>

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., India: Trump Announces 25% U.S. Tariff on Indian Goods Starting Aug. 1

India: Home Minister Says Security Forces Killed Perpetrators of April Attack in Kashmir

India, U.K.: London and New Delhi Sign Free Trade Agreement

India, China: India To Resume Issuing Tourist Visas to Chinese Nationals

Australia: HIMARS Fired Amid Largest-Ever Military Drills

BRICS+: Bloc Increasingly Leans Away From West, but Avoids Picking Fights With U.S.

Zambia: India Begins Fresh Exploration Works for Cobalt, Copper Deposits

Pakistan, U.S: Pakistan's Field Marshal Meets With Trump

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