United States

Indonesia

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Indonesia announced it will ease import restrictions on over 300 goods categories -- including plastics, chemicals, fertilizers and forestry products -- rolled out under 2023 trade protection rules in a partial reversal of its protectionist measures, Reuters reported on June 30.

Indonesia, U.S.: Jakarta Cuts Import Restrictions, Proposes Minerals Collaboration

Politics

U.S. Republican senators agreed on June 29 to reduce the attempted moratorium on state artificial intelligence regulations from 10 years to five years, Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) said in a statement. 

U.S.: Republicans Reach Deal on Significantly Weaker Moratorium on State AI Regulations

Energy

The spending and tax bill drafted by Senate Republicans, which may be passed as early as July 2, added several provisions, including a new 30% or 50% tax on solar and wind projects coming online after 2027 that include any material assistance from a foreign prohibited entity.

U.S.: Senate Tax and Spending Bill Targets Wind, Solar Projects With New Tax

Brazil

Cyber

Brazil's Supreme Court ruled on June 26 that social media platforms can be held legally responsible for users' posts, the Financial Times reported on June 27.

Brazil: Supreme Court Ruling Holds Digital Platforms Liable for Users' Posts

China

Military & Security

China removed Gen. Miao Hua from the Central Military Commission and expelled Navy Chief of Staff Vice Adm. Li Hanjun and nuclear scientist Liu Shipeng from the National People's Congress, marking a sharp escalation in Chinese President Xi Jinping's military purge, the South China Morning Post reported on June 27. 

China: Removal of Commanders, Nuclear Scientist Signals Deepening Military Purge

A U.S. federal judge ruled that artificial intelligence company Anthropic did not violate copyright law by training its Claude chatbot on copyrighted books, AP reported on June 24.

U.S.: Anthropic AI Wins Copyright Lawsuit

Singapore

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong signed five agreements on legal cooperation, intellectual property, bond market access and digital, green and artificial intelligence collaboration during the latter's visit to Beijing, The Straits Times reported on June 24.

China, Singapore: New Agreements Reaffirm Ties Under Tariff Risks

The U.S. Senate passed first-of-its-kind bipartisan cryptocurrency legislation aimed at creating guardrails for "stablecoins," which are digital assets fixed to a fiat currency, CNN reported on June 17. 

U.S.: Senate Passes Landmark Cryptocurrency Legislation

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant science and technology analyses. 

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Environmental Issues

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Assessments

India

Pakistan

Water runs in the Gurez valley in India-administered Jammu and Kashmir, near the India-Pakistan border, on June 3, 2025. 

Diplomatic talks between India and Pakistan will likely remain stalled due to ongoing airspace closures and disputes over water-sharing, sustaining the risk of a future conflict following the two countries' military confrontation earlier this year.

Unresolved Tensions: Water, Airspace and the Future of India-Pakistan Diplomacy

Media

Iran

Israel

Podcasts

What cyber limitations and capabilities do Iran and Israel have?

Essential Geopolitics: Increased Risk of Cyberattacks as Conflict With Iran Escalates

U.S.-Iran Relations

Canada

Australia

United Kingdom

Australian Defense Minister Richard Marles and British Defense Secretary John Healey sit together for the AUKUS Defense Ministers Meeting at Old Royal Naval College on Sept. 26, 2024, in London, England.

Despite growing U.S. skepticism, strong imperatives to counter China's maritime presence will likely lead Washington to see a revised version of the AUKUS defense pact through.

U.S. Review of AUKUS Pillar I Puts Pact on Shaky Ground

U.S. President Donald Trump discusses his plans for a "Golden Dome" U.S. missile defense shield in the Oval Office of the White House on May 20, 2025.

The plan for a U.S. missile defense system will likely fall short of its expansive aims, but it threatens to accelerate an arms race with Russia and China, as well as hasten the commercialization of space.

The Feasibility and Risks of Trump's 'Golden Dome' Missile Shield

Snapshots

Cargo shipping containers are seen stacked at the Port of Los Angeles in San Pedro, California, on April 15, 2025. 

Global Trade

Regardless of any short-term concessions, the U.S. will likely eventually expand the scope of its technology restrictions against China, likely prompting Beijing to retaliate by once again restricting exports of rare earths or other critical raw materials.

U.S.-China Framework To Implement Trade Deal Will Only Temporarily Ease Tensions

U.S.-China Relations

A stock image showing industrial magnet parts.

China will likely continue to wield export restrictions on rare earth elements and related magnets in response to future U.S. restrictions, sustaining a high risk of supply chain disruptions, particularly for automakers.

In Trade War With U.S., China Finds a Pressure Point With Magnet Restrictions

Dunster House at Harvard University is seen on March 17, 2025, in Cambridge, Massachusetts. 

The Trump administration's latest salvo against elite U.S. universities highlights a broader campaign that will have lasting implications for domestic scientific research, innovation and competitiveness.

The Implications of Trump's Pressure Campaign Against U.S. Universities

What role does AI play as both a disruptor and a tool in the risk management space? 

Applied Geopolitics: Leveraging AI To Anticipate and Mitigate Geopolitical and Supply Chain Risks 

Columns

On Geopolitics

Visitors walk down the inclined shaft at Steenkampskraal rare-earth mine on July 29, 2019, about 80 kilometers (about 50 miles) from Vanrhynsdorp, a town in Western Cape province, South Africa.

U.S.-China trade tensions are increasing the risk of supply chain disruptions for critical raw materials, but companies can take steps to mitigate this danger.

Corporate America Comes to Grips With Supply Chain Risks to Critical Raw Materials

Germany

France

Poland

Spain

Italy

NATO military forces during static display after the Steadfast Dart 2025 military exercises at the Smardan Training Area in Smardan, Romania, on Feb. 19, 2025. 

Europe is increasingly focused on achieving greater strategic autonomy in defense, but internal divisions and material constraints will plague this quest, even as the United States' role on the Continent continues to shrink, meaning NATO will likely remain the cornerstone of Europe’s security architecture. 

The Future of Transatlantic Security Cooperation, Part 2: The View From Europe

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Global Elections

A photo of the U.S. Capitol overlaid with a pixilated blue and red pattern.

The United States will continue to prioritize AI innovation over regulation, and the European Union is set to partially reconsider its rules amid a broader push to increase competitiveness. 

Environment, Science & Technology

SITUATION REPORTS

Indonesia, U.S.: Jakarta Cuts Import Restrictions, Proposes Minerals Collaboration

U.S.: Republicans Reach Deal on Significantly Weaker Moratorium on State AI Regulations

U.S.: Senate Tax and Spending Bill Targets Wind, Solar Projects With New Tax

Brazil: Supreme Court Ruling Holds Digital Platforms Liable for Users' Posts

China: Removal of Commanders, Nuclear Scientist Signals Deepening Military Purge

U.S.: Anthropic AI Wins Copyright Lawsuit

China, Singapore: New Agreements Reaffirm Ties Under Tariff Risks

U.S.: Senate Passes Landmark Cryptocurrency Legislation

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