Environment, Science & Technology

In a study published in Geophysical Research Letters on March 6, scientists published data showing the first statistically significant evidence (at the 95% confidence interval) that global warming has accelerated -- not just increased -- over the past decade. 

Global: New Study Finds that Global Warming Appears To Be Accelerating

United States

Economics

Politics

The administration of U.S. President Trump is drafting regulations that would restrict shipments of artificial intelligence chips to any foreign destination without American approval, Bloomberg reported on March 5.

U.S.: White House Weighs Regulations Restricting AI Chip Shipments Abroad

Canada

Australia

China

Military & Security

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney signed new agreements on critical minerals cooperation and broader collaboration in defense, trade and artificial intelligence during the latter's visit to Canberra, The New York Times reported on March 5.

Australia, Canada: Middle Powers Align on Critical Minerals and Broader Strategic Cooperation

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman announced that the company would amend its deal with the Department of Defense, which was announced on Feb. 27, after backlash, CNBC reported on March 2.

U.S.: OpenAI To Amend Deal With Pentagon Amid Backlash

Europe

Energy

Global Trade

The European Commission is set to adopt the Industrial Accelerator Act on March 4, following weeks of internal debate and last-minute revisions, Politico reported March 3.

EU: Brussels To Present Industrial Accelerator Act With Revisions Expected To Blunt "Made in Europe" Rules

Democratic Republic of the Congo

The Democratic Republic of the Congo and the United States signed a memorandum of understanding according to which Washington will provide up to $900 million in assistance for Congo's health care sector over 2026-31, while Congo will increase its domestic health expenditure by $300 million over the same period, Reuters reported on Feb. 26.

Congo: Kinshasa Signs $1.2B Health Deal With Trump Administration, Despite Africa CDC Warnings

Syria

The U.S. State Department warned Syria's Communications Minister Abdulsalam Haykal in San Francisco earlier the week of Feb. 23 to avoid relying on Chinese telecommunications technology, Reuters reported on Feb. 27.

U.S., Syria: U.S. Warns Syria Against Chinese Telecoms

Lynas Rare Earths, Australia's largest rare earths producer and the only major commercial separator outside China, reported roughly $295 million in revenue and approximately $57 million in profit from July 2025 through December 2025, marking a sharp year-on-year increase, Nikkei Asia reported on Feb. 26.

Australia: Lynas Profit Surge a Potential Sign of Viability for Non-China Rare Earths, but Risks Loom Large

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant science and technology analyses. 

Technology

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Agriculture

COVID-19

Supply Chains

Cyber

_Energy

Environmental Issues

Globalization

The 4th Industrial Revolution

Columns

On Geopolitics

A figurine is seen in front of the logo of the U.S. AI company Anthropic during a photo session in Paris, France, on Feb. 13, 2026.

Restricting commercial and federal integration of Anthropic's AI models inadvertently risks accelerating U.S. adversaries’ efforts to catch up with American AI labs by stifling innovation and investment.

Trump Administration's Anthropic Ban Puts U.S. AI Lead at Risk

Assessments

Iran

Israel

Lebanon

Palestinian Territories

Yemen

U.S. Vice President JD Vance's shadow is seen as he speaks during a press conference following a military briefing at the civilian military coordination center on Oct. 21, 2025, in Kiryat Gat, Israel. 

Negotiations over a new Israel-U.S. security agreement signal a pivot in the bilateral relationship as Israel increasingly focuses on strengthening its domestic defense industry.

How Israel's Defense Sector Will Evolve Amid the Government's Push for Self-Reliance

Nigeria

Colombia

Cuba

Mexico

Venezuela

Greenland

Taiwan

Norway

Ukraine

Russia

India

Pakistan

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026

U.S.-China Relations

U.S.-Iran Relations

Israel-Hamas Conflict

As elections reshape political incentives worldwide, 2026 will see major powers recalibrate diplomacy and conflict, raising the risk of fragile deals, regional instability and sudden escalation.

2026 Annual Geopolitical Forecast: An Excerpt

Benin

Burkina Faso

Madagascar

Mali

Niger

Rwanda

Paraguay

Egypt

Morocco

Qatar

Turkey

Cambodia

Timor-Leste

Indonesia

Japan

Mongolia

Myanmar

Philippines

South Korea

Thailand

Vietnam

Bulgaria

Afghanistan

Nepal

Flight routes.

As 2026 approaches, we look back at the previous year and consider the top five patterns and trends as measured by geopolitical impact.

2025: A Geopolitical Review

A container ship arrives Oct. 10 at the Port of Oakland, California. In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

2026 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Media

Podcasts

How could advancements in AI increase the threat of state-sponsored cyber activity?

Essential Geopolitics: The Role of AI in State-Sponsored Cyber Espionage Campaigns

Tanzania

Hong Kong SAR, China

Protesters help an injured demonstrator near burning barricades amid clashes in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, on Oct. 29, 2025. 

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Unrest in Tanzania, an EU Summit in Ukraine

Brazil

Iraq

Campaign posters Nov. 6 ahead of Nov. 11 Iraqi parliamentary elections in central Baghdad.

The Weekly Rundown: Iraqi Elections, a U.S.-China Deal Enters Effect

The COP30 logo at the central building is seen ahead of the COP30 Brazil Amazonia 2025 on Nov. 3, 2025 in Belem, Brazil. 

The 30th U.N. Climate Change Conference is poised to highlight the enduring impasse between developed and developing nations, particularly regarding financial responsibilities and the transition from fossil fuels.

A Breakthrough on Climate Targets is Unlikely at Brazil's COP30

The Geopolitics of Trade

The recalibration of the European Union's sustainability framework will ease near-term compliance burdens and costs for businesses but preserve long-term uncertainty.

The Geopolitics of Trade: EU Steps Back From Ambitious Environmental Policies

Chinese President Xi Jinping, center, and other senior government members and deputies attend the second plenary session of the National People's Congress at the Great Hall of the People on March 8, 2025, in Beijing, China.

The key political meeting will fill vacant Party seats and update economic and security goals, offering insights into China's policy priorities and the trajectory of Xi's political purges for the next five years. 

What To Watch for During China's Fourth Plenum

Environment, Science & Technology

SITUATION REPORTS

Global: New Study Finds that Global Warming Appears To Be Accelerating

U.S.: White House Weighs Regulations Restricting AI Chip Shipments Abroad

Australia, Canada: Middle Powers Align on Critical Minerals and Broader Strategic Cooperation

U.S.: OpenAI To Amend Deal With Pentagon Amid Backlash

EU: Brussels To Present Industrial Accelerator Act With Revisions Expected To Blunt "Made in Europe" Rules

Congo: Kinshasa Signs $1.2B Health Deal With Trump Administration, Despite Africa CDC Warnings

U.S., Syria: U.S. Warns Syria Against Chinese Telecoms

Australia: Lynas Profit Surge a Potential Sign of Viability for Non-China Rare Earths, but Risks Loom Large

Forecasts

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