United States

China

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

U.S. President Donald Trump signed a presidential proclamation on Jan. 14 placing a 25% tariff on certain advanced semiconductors under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act.

U.S.: Washington Implements Narrow Tariffs on Semiconductors, Delays Decision on CRM Tariffs

Greenland

Europe

Denmark

Military & Security

Politics

The United States, Denmark and Greenland agreed on Jan. 14 to establish a high-level working group on Greenland's future following trilateral talks in Washington, the Financial Times reported the same day.

Denmark, U.S., Greenland: Talks Inconclusive as European Allies Build Limited Troop Presence

Israel

Cyber

Chinese authorities recently told domestic companies to stop using cybersecurity software made by approximately a dozen U.S. and Israeli companies due to national security concerns, Reuters reported on Jan. 14.

U.S., China: China Bans U.S. and Israeli Cybersecurity Products, Nvidia H200 Chips

U.S.-China Relations

Nigeria

United Arab Emirates

Nigerian President Bola Tinubu unveiled plans to mobilize $2 billion for the country's National Climate Change Fund and $500 million for climate-resilient infrastructure at the Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week summit, Reuters reported on Jan. 13.

Nigeria: President Tinubu Unveils $2B Climate Fund, Economic Partnership With Abu Dhabi

Taiwan

Taiwan's Executive Yuan's Office of Trade Negotiations announced on Jan. 13 that Taiwan and the United States had broadly agreed on a trade deal and would soon hold a final meeting to conclude talks.

U.S., Taiwan: Trade Deal Impending After Lengthy Trade Talks

Energy

Danish wind developer Orsted will be allowed to resume construction on its Revolution Wind project off the coast of Rhode Island after a federal judge on Jan. 12 issued a preliminary injunction blocking the Department of the Interior's December 2025 suspension of Orsted's lease for the project and an associated stop-work order on the project, the Financial Times reported on Jan. 13.

U.S.: Federal Judge Allows Orsted To Resume Construction on Revolution Wind Project

Japan

China's regulators have stopped reviewing applications for licenses to export heavy rare earths to Japanese companies in the days since China announced a ban on dual-use goods exports to Japanese military end users on Jan. 6, according to two Chinese exporters interviewed by The Wall Street Journal on Jan. 8.

China, Japan: Beijing Cuts Exports of Heavy Rare Earths to Japan

Social Issues

U.S. President Donald Trump signed a presidential memorandum on Jan. 7 directing the U.S. withdrawal from 66 U.N.-backed and other international organizations, conventions and treaties that the White House said are "contrary to the interests of the United States."

U.S.: Trump Administration Orders U.S. To Pull Out of Dozens of International Entities

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant science and technology analyses. 

Technology

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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026

U.S.-Iran Relations

Israel-Hamas Conflict

As elections reshape political incentives worldwide, 2026 will see major powers recalibrate diplomacy and conflict, raising the risk of fragile deals, regional instability and sudden escalation.

2026 Annual Geopolitical Forecast: An Excerpt

Benin

Burkina Faso

Democratic Republic of the Congo

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Niger

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Nepal

Flight routes.

As 2026 approaches, we look back at the previous year and consider the top five patterns and trends as measured by geopolitical impact.

2025: A Geopolitical Review

A container ship arrives Oct. 10 at the Port of Oakland, California. In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

2026 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Media

Podcasts

How could advancements in AI increase the threat of state-sponsored cyber activity?

Essential Geopolitics: The Role of AI in State-Sponsored Cyber Espionage Campaigns

Tanzania

Hong Kong SAR, China

Protesters help an injured demonstrator near burning barricades amid clashes in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, on Oct. 29, 2025. 

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Unrest in Tanzania, an EU Summit in Ukraine

Brazil

Iraq

Campaign posters Nov. 6 ahead of Nov. 11 Iraqi parliamentary elections in central Baghdad.

The Weekly Rundown: Iraqi Elections, a U.S.-China Deal Enters Effect

The COP30 logo at the central building is seen ahead of the COP30 Brazil Amazonia 2025 on Nov. 3, 2025 in Belem, Brazil. 

The 30th U.N. Climate Change Conference is poised to highlight the enduring impasse between developed and developing nations, particularly regarding financial responsibilities and the transition from fossil fuels.

A Breakthrough on Climate Targets is Unlikely at Brazil's COP30

The Geopolitics of Trade

The recalibration of the European Union's sustainability framework will ease near-term compliance burdens and costs for businesses but preserve long-term uncertainty.

The Geopolitics of Trade: EU Steps Back From Ambitious Environmental Policies

Chinese President Xi Jinping, center, and other senior government members and deputies attend the second plenary session of the National People's Congress at the Great Hall of the People on March 8, 2025, in Beijing, China.

The key political meeting will fill vacant Party seats and update economic and security goals, offering insights into China's policy priorities and the trajectory of Xi's political purges for the next five years. 

What To Watch for During China's Fourth Plenum

While countries will likely increasingly pursue trade deals with digital clauses, the slow pace of regulatory development, coupled with a global tendency toward protectionism, will impede the push toward building out more streamlined digital economy agreements.

The Geopolitics of Trade: The Role of Digital Trade in Modern Free Trade Agreements

This aerial photograph shows dry areas near the Alacati Kutlu Aktas Dam in Izmir, Turkey, on July 30, 2025. 

The absence of a national water strategy leaves local authorities and businesses exposed to the mounting pressures of climate change, inefficient agricultural practices and population growth.

Water Scarcity Likely to Worsen With Climate Change, Deepening Turkey's Economic Challenges

Environment, Science & Technology

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S.: Washington Implements Narrow Tariffs on Semiconductors, Delays Decision on CRM Tariffs

Denmark, U.S., Greenland: Talks Inconclusive as European Allies Build Limited Troop Presence

U.S., China: China Bans U.S. and Israeli Cybersecurity Products, Nvidia H200 Chips

Nigeria: President Tinubu Unveils $2B Climate Fund, Economic Partnership With Abu Dhabi

U.S., Taiwan: Trade Deal Impending After Lengthy Trade Talks

U.S.: Federal Judge Allows Orsted To Resume Construction on Revolution Wind Project

China, Japan: Beijing Cuts Exports of Heavy Rare Earths to Japan

U.S.: Trump Administration Orders U.S. To Pull Out of Dozens of International Entities

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