Australia

Politics

Australia's opposition Liberal-National Coalition, or LNC, formally split, The Australian Financial Review reported May 20.

Australia: Opposition Liberal-National Coalition Collapses

China

Economics

Various Chinese government departments published plans to expand "urban renewal" infrastructure projects on May 20, with the finance ministry allowing the use of local government special-purpose bonds for such projects and encouraging policy banks to support these projects, Jiemian reported the same day.

China: Beijing Pushes Urban Renewal to Counter Property, Employment Woes

Uganda

Military & Security

Uganda's parliament passed the controversial Uganda People's Defence Force (Amendment) Bill and the Political Parties and Organizations (Amendment) Bill, The Daily Monitor reported on May 20.

Uganda: New Laws Facilitate Civilian Trials in Military Courts, Curb Public Financing of Parties   

Kenya

Tanzania

Tanzanian authorities arrested and deported several Kenyan activists and politicians attending a court hearing for detained Tanzanian opposition leader Tundu Lissu, Reuters reported on May 19.

Tanzania: Authorities Arrest and Deport Kenyan Activists Supporting Detained Opposition Leader

Belgium

Russia

The European Union on May 20 adopted its 17th sanctions package against Russia, targeting nearly 200 vessels linked to Moscow's so-called shadow fleet used to bypass Western oil sanctions, Reuters reported the same day.

EU, Russia: EU Adopts 17th Russia Sanctions Package, Eyes Tougher Energy Measures 

United States

Energy

Environment, Science & Technology

The U.S. Department of Interior's Bureau of Ocean Energy Management lifted its stop-work order on the $5 billion Empire Wind offshore project, project developer Equinor announced on May 19.

U.S.: Trump Administration Lifts Stop-Work Order on Empire Wind Project

Ukraine

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

U.S. President Donald Trump spoke on the phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss the Russia-Ukraine war, AP reported on May 19.

U.S., Russia: Putin Promises To Work With Ukraine on Peace During Call With Trump

Portugal

Portuguese Prime Minister Luis Montenegro's center-right Democratic Alliance secured the most votes in the May 18 snap election, winning 32%, ahead of the center-left Socialist Party with 23% and the far-right Chega party, which surged to 22.6%, Reuters reported on May 19.

Portugal: Center-Right Alliance Wins Most Seats, But Portugal Left Without Clear Majority

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Below are our latest and most relevant politics analyses.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

The Post-Apartheid Era Ends

Venezuela's Unraveling

The Saudi Survival Strategy

The Kurdish Struggle

Israel's Survival Strategy

Turkey's Resurgence

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

Old Leaders in a New Africa

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The Pulse of Political Islam

Broken Contracts in the Middle East

Russia's Internal Struggle

China in Transition

Southeast Asia: Burdened by Consensus

India's Own Worst Enemy

Pakistan: A Military With a Country

Assessments

Nigeria

A worker inspects an oil drilling platform located roughly 35 kilometers away from Port Harcourt in the Niger Delta. 

The recent drop in global oil prices risks exacerbating Nigeria's already high inflation, which would ripen socioeconomic conditions for protests and threaten to fuel recruitment by jihadist and bandit groups.

Can Nigeria Navigate Lower Oil Prices? 

Iran

Jordan

Syria

Supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan hold the movement's flag during a demonstration in the capital, Amman, on Nov. 28, 2014.

Militant factions of the Muslim Brotherhood will likely go underground in Jordan following the government's ban on the organization, but Iranian influence and persistent socioeconomic grievances will sustain risks of violence.

In Jordan, a Ban Pushes the Muslim Brotherhood Underground

United Kingdom

A digital illustration of the U.K. and EU flags.

The agreements will institutionalize defense cooperation and ease trade frictions, though lingering political constraints will limit deeper integration in the near term.

The U.K.-EU Deal Signals a Strategic Recalibration of Post-Brexit Trade and Defense Relations

Peru

Peruvian President Dina Boluarte delivers an address in Lima on July 28, 2024.

The potential for reduced political volatility once a new president takes office in July 2026, combined with efforts to reduce bureaucratic red tape, could help the country attract foreign investment, especially in its crucial mining sector.

In Peru, Greater Political Stability Could Unleash Economic Growth

Media

Turkey

Podcasts

How does Turkey's political uncertainty affect its economic outlook?

Essential Geopolitics: Turkey's Current Political Environment

Vietnam

Azerbaijan

Belarus

Kazakhstan

Russian President Vladimir Putin (R) and Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary To Lam (L) address journalists following their talks in Moscow, Russia, on May 10, 2025, during celebrations of the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany in World War II. 

Vietnam is strengthening its relationships with Eurasian countries, especially Russia, as it looks to further diversify economic and energy ties away from great powers amid an unstable geopolitical landscape.

Russia-Vietnam Ties Are Set To Grow Following Lam's Eurasia Tour

Snapshots

Philippines

Supporters of Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. attend a campaign rally in Mandaluyong, the Philippines, on May 9, 2025, ahead of the midterm elections. 

President Marcos' diminished Senate majority could slow defense deals in the short term and tilt foreign policy back toward neutrality or a China-friendly stance in the long term.

Midterm Elections Deal a Blow to the Philippines' U.S.-Friendly President

A Syrian Kurdish woman waves a flag bearing a picture of the founder of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), Abdullah Ocalan, as people gather in the Kurdish-majority city of Qamishli in northeastern Syria to listen to a message from the jailed leader on Feb. 27, 2025. 

While the disbandment will reduce the near-term risk of Kurdish militant attacks, the peace process could still collapse, which would rob the government of the political support it needs to secure Erdogan's 2028 reelection bid.

What the PKK's Disbandment Means for Turkish Politics and Security

India

Pakistan

The Bombay Stock Exchange building May 7 in Mumbai, India. If military hostilities were to resume and lead to a prolonged conflict, Pakistan would be far less well-positioned than India to sustain it from an economic and financial perspective.

If military hostilities were to resume and lead to a prolonged conflict, Pakistan would be far less well-positioned than India to sustain it from an economic and financial perspective.

The Economic Case for an India-Pakistan Ceasefire

Containers are seen at China's Lianyungang port in eastern Jiangsu province on May 1, 2025. 

Global Trade

Although the U.S.-China trade deal will bring short-term economic relief, negotiations over a broader agreement will remain fraught, particularly since the rapid reduction of U.S. tariffs will embolden China to implement strong retaliation when talks falter.

Despite Tariff Reprieve, a Broader U.S.-China Deal Will Remain Elusive

U.S.-China Relations

U.S. President Donald Trump -- flanked by Vice President JD Vance (left) and Peter Mandelson, the U.K. ambassador to the United States (right) -- holds a phone call with U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer in the Oval Office of the White House on May 8, 2025. 

The agreement's narrow scope and quota system suggest the White House remains intent on restricting imports, meaning tariff relief for most other countries reaching deals will also be limited.

Trump Reaches First Post-Tariff Trade Deal With the U.K.

Poland

Supporters of the PiS party demonstrate April 12 in Warsaw, Poland. Poland will hold a presidential election May 18 and runoff June 1 if no candidate obtains more than 50% in the first round.

Social Issues

The outcome of Poland's election will determine whether Prime Minister Donald Tusk's centrist government will coexist with a cooperative president or continue to face institutional constraints from an ideologically opposed president.

Poland's Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

Global Elections

Politics

SITUATION REPORTS

Australia: Opposition Liberal-National Coalition Collapses

China: Beijing Pushes Urban Renewal to Counter Property, Employment Woes

Uganda: New Laws Facilitate Civilian Trials in Military Courts, Curb Public Financing of Parties

Tanzania: Authorities Arrest and Deport Kenyan Activists Supporting Detained Opposition Leader

EU, Russia: EU Adopts 17th Russia Sanctions Package, Eyes Tougher Energy Measures

U.S.: Trump Administration Lifts Stop-Work Order on Empire Wind Project

U.S., Russia: Putin Promises To Work With Ukraine on Peace During Call With Trump

Portugal: Center-Right Alliance Wins Most Seats, But Portugal Left Without Clear Majority

Forecasts

ANALYSES

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