The Americas stretch from the Arctic Circle in Canada to the southern tip of Chile. This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world &mdash; an ascendance aided in part by bringing Mexico and Canada into its sphere of influence. Farther south, the nations of South America are like islands, separated by vast spaces of impenetrable mountains, rivers and jungles. Try though these countries may to integrate more closely, deeper ties such as those that characterize North America will prove elusive.

This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

Americas

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Argentina

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Jamaica

Venezuela's Unraveling

Colombian Peace Process

Security Challenges in Latin America

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The Importance of Mexico

North America Unrivaled

Commodities: A Cautionary Tale

Crossing Borders

Assessments

Venezuela's National Assembly President Jorge Rodriguez (C) gestures during the official picture of the new National Assembly in Caracas on Jan. 5, 2026. 

Economics

Military & Security

Politics

Venezuela's acting president is most likely to cooperate with the United States to keep the country's regime intact, but other, more volatile scenarios remain possible. 

Venezuela's Post-Maduro Outlook: Potential Scenarios

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As elections reshape political incentives worldwide, 2026 will see major powers recalibrate diplomacy and conflict, raising the risk of fragile deals, regional instability and sudden escalation.

2026 Annual Geopolitical Forecast: An Excerpt

U.S.-China Relations

U.S.-Iran Relations

Snapshots

Fuerte Tiuna, Venezuela's largest military complex, after a series of explosions Jan. 3, 2026, in Caracas amid U.S. strikes.

The detention of the Venezuelan president creates a power vacuum that risks triggering violent unrest while establishing a precedent for further U.S. interventionism in Latin America.

U.S. Capture of Maduro Could Lead to Instability and Unrest in Venezuela, Wider Region

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

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South Korea

Ukraine

A U.S. Marine Corps F-35B fighter jet takes off from Jose Aponte de la Torre Airport on December 15, 2025 in Ceiba, Puerto Rico. If U.S. strikes escalate and cause significant casualties, it could make retaliatory measures -- including the arbitrary detention of U.S. citizens in Venezuela or the harassment of energy sector vessels in the region -- more likely.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: South Korea's President Visits Beijing, U.S. Operations in Venezuela

Columns

On Geopolitics

A NASA satellite image shows the city lights of Europe. 

Global Trade

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our hits and misses in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

Grading Our 2025 Annual Forecast

Benin

Burkina Faso

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Madagascar

Mali

Niger

Nigeria

Rwanda

Egypt

Iran

Israel

Lebanon

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Palestinian Territories

Qatar

Syria

Turkey

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Timor-Leste

Indonesia

Japan

Mongolia

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Vietnam

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Afghanistan

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Flight routes.

As 2026 approaches, we look back at the previous year and consider the top five patterns and trends as measured by geopolitical impact.

2025: A Geopolitical Review

A U.S. military MQ-9 Reaper drone sits on a tarmac at Rafael Hernandez Airport in Aguadilla, Puerto Rico, on Dec. 27, 2025.

The Trump administration will likely soon launch more strikes inside Venezuela following the reported CIA drone attack on a suspected drug port, though a U.S. ground invasion remains unlikely for the foreseeable future.

Trump Escalates Pressure on Venezuela With First Land Strike

Media

Podcasts

How has U.S. interest in the Middle East evolved over time? 

Essential Geopolitics: A Historical Look Back on U.S.-Middle East Relations

U.S. President Donald Trump meets with Ukranian President Volodymyr Zelensky at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, on Dec. 28, 2025.

While the U.S. and Ukrainian presidents have narrowed their differences on a 20-point peace framework, the Kremlin's insistence on full control of the Donbas complicates the prospects of a negotiated deal.

Ukraine Peace Deal Still Elusive Despite Trump-Zelensky Talks

Central African Republic

Guinea

Cyprus

Kosovo

The Bulgarian flag and the European flag waving in the wind.

The Weekly Rundown: Bulgaria Adopts the Euro, U.S.-Venezuela Tensions Persist

South Korean President Lee Jae Myung met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China, where the two sides signed 15 memorandums of understanding, including on establishing a ministerial-level commercial dialogue and deepening cooperation on artificial intelligence and cultural product exchanges, Bloomberg reported on Jan. 5.

South Korea, China: Lee-Xi Chat Rosey on Economic Ties, Mixed on North Korea

France

Italy

Italy plans to support the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement, reversing its earlier position ahead of an EU ambassadors' vote on Jan. 9, which would clear the way for the European Union to sign the accord with Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay on Jan. 12, Bloomberg reported on Jan. 5, citing sources close to the negotiations.

EU, Mercosur: Italy Ready To Back EU-Mercosur Trade Deal, Clearing Way for Ratification

At least 19 protesters have been killed in Iran as of Jan. 4 as protests entered their ninth day on Jan. 5, the BBC reported the same day, citing a report by the U.S.-based nongovernmental organization Human Rights Activists in Iran.

Iran: Trump Reiterates Warnings to Iran as Protests Continue Into Ninth Day

Israel and Syria resumed U.S.-mediated talks in Paris on a security agreement after around two months of negotiations being frozen, Reuters reported Jan. 5. 

Syria, Israel: Syria and Israel Resume Negotiations on Security Agreement

In a Truth Social post, U.S. President Donald Trump said the United States was "locked and loaded" and would intervene if Iran's government killed peaceful protesters in the current anti-government uprising affecting several Iranian cities.

U.S., Iran: Trump Threatens To Intervene if Iran Kills Peaceful Protesters

The Kremlin's move to publicize more purported evidence of a Ukrainian attack on Putin's residence comes at a critical point in peace negotiations, reflecting Russia's aim to manipulate the narrative and weaken support for Kyiv. 

Russia: GRU Head Presents U.S. Attache With Data From Alleged Drone Attack on Putin's Residence

A Cambodian defense ministry spokesperson announced on Dec. 31 that the ministry had received the transfer of 18 Cambodian soldiers who had been detained in Thailand since a previous round of border clashes between the two sides in July.

Thailand, Cambodia: Bangkok Releases Prisoners in Line With Ceasefire

The Rwandan-backed M23 rebel group said it had overseen the deployment of interim civilian security and administration officials in the Democratic Republic of the Congo's eastern city of Uvira to take charge of security and administration until the deployment of a neutral force to the city, Radio France Internationale reported on Dec. 30.

Congo: M23-Linked Administration Emerges in Uvira After Rebels Withdraw Bulk of Forces 

Americas

SITUATION REPORTS

South Korea, China: Lee-Xi Chat Rosey on Economic Ties, Mixed on North Korea

EU, Mercosur: Italy Ready To Back EU-Mercosur Trade Deal, Clearing Way for Ratification

Iran: Trump Reiterates Warnings to Iran as Protests Continue Into Ninth Day

Syria, Israel: Syria and Israel Resume Negotiations on Security Agreement

U.S., Iran: Trump Threatens To Intervene if Iran Kills Peaceful Protesters

Russia: GRU Head Presents U.S. Attache With Data From Alleged Drone Attack on Putin's Residence

Thailand, Cambodia: Bangkok Releases Prisoners in Line With Ceasefire

Congo: M23-Linked Administration Emerges in Uvira After Rebels Withdraw Bulk of Forces

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