<p>To the west of Eurasia lays Europe, a region predisposed to division. It is surrounded on nearly all sides by islands and peninsulas that make it difficult for Europe to cohere. The northern half of the continent, moreover, sits on a plain whose short, meandering rivers tend to empower countries without forcing them to work with others. The southern half is situated on more mountainous terrain that has historically impeded the creation of strong, unified economies. As a result, Europe is a continent riven by pockets of distinct cultures whose differences are all too often irreconcilable.</p>

Europe is a continent riven by pockets of distinct cultures whose differences are all too often irreconcilable.

Europe

Belize

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Beyond Quantitative Easing

The Ukraine Conflict

The Politics of Pipelines

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

The Fate of the Eurozone

Banking

Crossing Borders

Globalization

European Disintegration

Echoes of the Cold War

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

Assessments

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Israel

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Japan

Palestinians on Oct. 10 on Al-Rashid road headed toward Gaza City. U.S. President Donald Trump said he might visit the Middle East just as 20 hostages are meant to be released by Hamas after surviving two years in captivity as the White House pushes for the solidification of a frail ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Politics

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Trump Tries To Solidify the Gaza Ceasefire, a Presidential Vote in Cameroon

Outgoing French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu arrives to deliver a statement at the Hotel Matignon in Paris after submitting his resignation to French President Emmanuel Macron on Oct. 6, 2025. 

Economics

Lecornu's resignation leaves President Macron with few good options to ease the ongoing political gridlock over the budget, portending further market volatility, social unrest and, potentially, a fiscal crisis.

French Political Crisis Deepens as Another Prime Minister Resigns

Syria

Turkey

Tajikistan

Azerbaijan

Georgia

Russia

The assembly hall of the Syrian parliament Oct. 1 in Damascus. An Oct. 5 indirect election for parliament will mark the first time Syrians have had an electoral say in their government since the 1960s.

The Weekly Rundown: Japan's Election, Syria's Political Transition

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Rwanda

The Geopolitics of Trade

Global Trade

Persistent conflict and armed group control in the Democratic Republic of the Congo will sustain significant legal, financial and reputational pressures on companies sourcing critical minerals from the region for the foreseeable future.

The Geopolitics of Trade: Due Diligence and Congo's Critical Minerals

Snapshots

Moldova

Moldovan President Maia Sandu arrives to hold a press conference in Chisinau on Sept. 29, 2025, after her pro-EU party secured a victory in parliamentary elections. 

Despite a clear win for the pro-EU Action and Solidarity in the Sept. 28 parliamentary election, Moldova's path to EU accession remains fraught with obstacles, including the unresolved Transdniestria conflict, entrenched corruption and the need for politically sensitive judicial reforms.

Even With PAS Victory, Moldova's Road to EU Membership Remains Long

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Sub-Saharan Africa

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Forecast Webcast

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

A Polish-made FlyEye V3.0 drone is displayed during the Iron Defender-25 media day on Sept. 18, 2025, in Nowa Deba, Poland. 

European efforts to fast-track a sophisticated anti-drone system will unlock major contracts for defense firms, but the vast scale of the project will leave Europe exposed to Russian provocations for years.

EU 'Drone Wall' Plans Will Take Years To Materialize, Leaving Continent Vulnerable in the Meantime

The fourth quarter will bring shifting trade tactics, evolving wars, and pivotal elections and flashpoints worldwide that will test governments’ stability and market confidence.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Ukraine

Representatives are pictured ahead of a working session during the informal EU foreign ministers' meeting in Copenhagen, Denmark, on Aug. 30, 2025.

The Weekly Rundown: EU Leaders Meet in Denmark, Moldova Elects a New Parliament

Australia

Dignitaries attend a U.N. Security Council meeting on the situation in the Middle East, including the question of Palestinian statehood, during the U.N. General Assembly on Sept. 23, 2025, in New York City. 

Western countries' growing recognition of Palestinian statehood is largely symbolic and will likely galvanize Israel's push for West Bank annexation, risking further Israeli diplomatic isolation abroad and sporadic violence at home.

The West's Growing Support for Palestinian Statehood Will Have Limited Concrete Impacts

Madagascar

The French military exfiltrated Malagasy President Andry Rajoelina from Madagascar on Oct. 12, Radio France Internationale reported on Oct. 13.

Madagascar: France Exfiltrates President After Army Corps Defects in Support of Gen Z Protesters

French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu announced his new Cabinet on Oct. 12, two days after being reappointed by President Emmanuel Macron following his resignation on Oct. 6, Le Monde reported the same day.

France: Lecornu Reappointed Prime Minister, To Present Budget and Policy Program to Parliament 

China

Cyber

The Dutch government has temporarily taken control of Chinese-owned semiconductor manufacturer Nexperia, citing risks to national and European technological security, the Financial Times reported Oct. 12.

Netherlands, China: Dutch Government Seizes Control of Chinese-Owned Chipmaker 

Energy

Several EU members, including France, the Netherlands and Romania, have increased imports of Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) this year, Reuters reported Oct. 10.

Europe: EU Countries Continue to Purchase Russian LNG, Undercutting Bloc's Sanctions Strategy

NATO members are considering stronger deterrence measures in response to increasingly brazen Russian provocations, the Financial Times reported Oct. 9, citing alliance officials briefed on the talks.

Europe, Russia: NATO Considers Allowing Pilots To Shoot Down Russian Jets

French President Emmanuel Macron will appoint a new prime minister by Oct. 10 based on the conclusions of two days of consultations led by resigning Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu with parliamentary groups, Le Figaro reported on Oct. 8, citing a statement from the presidency.

France: Macron To Appoint New Prime Minister by Oct. 10, Avoid Snap Election

Germany's coalition government reached an agreement on a package of measures to revive the country's slowing economy, support the automotive industry and reduce welfare spending, DW reported on Oct. 9. 

Germany: Berlin Unveils Measures To Support Growth and Auto Industry

India

U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi met in Mumbai on Oct. 8, where they pledged to deepen their countries' trade and defense cooperation, Reuters reported Oct. 9.

India, U.K.: Modi and Starmer Meet in Mumbai, Vow To Deepen Trade and Defense Ties

Europe

SITUATION REPORTS

Madagascar: France Exfiltrates President After Army Corps Defects in Support of Gen Z Protesters

France: Lecornu Reappointed Prime Minister, To Present Budget and Policy Program to Parliament

Netherlands, China: Dutch Government Seizes Control of Chinese-Owned Chipmaker

Europe: EU Countries Continue to Purchase Russian LNG, Undercutting Bloc's Sanctions Strategy

Europe, Russia: NATO Considers Allowing Pilots To Shoot Down Russian Jets

France: Macron To Appoint New Prime Minister by Oct. 10, Avoid Snap Election

Germany: Berlin Unveils Measures To Support Growth and Auto Industry

India, U.K.: Modi and Starmer Meet in Mumbai, Vow To Deepen Trade and Defense Ties

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